Coupe de France · Full time ·1/128-finals

Macaire vs Nueillaubiers

0 – 2 Full time

Macaire 23%
Draw 24%
Nueillaubiers 53%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Macaire vs Nueillaubiers overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Macaire vs Nueillaubiers

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMacaireDrawNueillaubiers
Model22.6%24.0%53.4%
Market———
Final22.6%24.0%53.4%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Nueillaubiers

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.00 vs 1.22.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Macaire ↓ / Nueillaubiers → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 1 11% 10% 6% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Macaire and Nueillaubiers expected goals

Macaire 1.22
Nueillaubiers 2.00

Total expected goals: 3.22

Macaire and Nueillaubiers attack and defence ratings

Macaire

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Nueillaubiers

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Macaire vs Nueillaubiers: result vs prediction

Macaire 0 – 2 Nueillaubiers

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other 1/128-finals fixtures

Coupe de France

Macaire vs Nueillaubiers markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Nueillaubiers 53.4% 1.87 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.1% 1.64 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.2% 1.63 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 77.4% 1.29 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.5% 2.20 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Macaire22.6%
Draw24.0%
Nueillaubiers53.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.1%
Under 2.538.9%
Both teams to scoreYes61.2%
No38.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)46.6%
12 (either side)76.0%
X2 (draw or away)77.4%
Handicap -1Nueillaubiers win32.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.6%
Loss45.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.0%
1-29.8%
0-28.0%

Macaire vs Nueillaubiers stats

Macaire and Nueillaubiers recent form

newest first
Macaire no matches on record
Nueillaubiers no matches on record

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 0 completed matches.

Macaire vs Nueillaubiers head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Macaire vs Nueillaubiers odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.