Massay
vs
Montlouis
Garuda Lions Prediction: Montlouis
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.21.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Massay vs Montlouis overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Massay vs Montlouis
| Probability | Massay | Draw | Montlouis |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.6% | 24.0% | 53.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 22.6% | 24.0% | 53.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Montlouis
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.21.
Massay vs Montlouis match preview
In the upcoming Coupe de France match between Massay and Montlouis, the model predicts a competitive encounter. Montlouis is favored with a 53% probability of winning, while Massay has a 23% chance, and a draw stands at 24%. The most likely scoreline is 1-2 in favor of Montlouis, with a 10% likelihood.
Both teams are expected to contribute to a dynamic match, as the model indicates a 61% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance that both teams will score. The expected goals are 1.23 for Massay and 1.93 for Montlouis, suggesting a stronger offensive performance from the visitors. The confidence grade for this forecast is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Massay and Montlouis expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.16
Massay and Montlouis attack and defence ratings
Massay
Montlouis
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Massay vs Montlouis markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Montlouis | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.6% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Massay | 22.6% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Montlouis | 53.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% |
| No | 38.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Montlouis win | 31.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 46.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.0% |
Massay vs Montlouis stats
Massay and Montlouis recent form
| Massay |
no matches on record |
| Montlouis |
no matches on record |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 0 completed matches.