Metz ESAP
vs
Reipertswiller
Garuda Lions Prediction: Reipertswiller
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.21.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Metz ESAP vs Reipertswiller overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Metz ESAP vs Reipertswiller
| Probability | Metz ESAP | Draw | Reipertswiller |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.6% | 24.0% | 53.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 22.6% | 24.0% | 53.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Reipertswiller
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.21.
Metz ESAP vs Reipertswiller match preview
Metz ESAP faces Reipertswiller in the Coupe de France on November 15, 2026. According to our model, the probabilities indicate a 23% chance for Metz ESAP to win, a 24% chance for a draw, and a 53% chance for Reipertswiller to secure victory. The expected goals suggest Metz ESAP will score 1.23 while Reipertswiller is projected to net 1.93, making a high-scoring match likely.
The most probable scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, occurring at a frequency of 10%. Additionally, there is a 61% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance that both teams will score during the match. The confidence grade for this forecast is C, indicating moderate certainty in these projections.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Metz ESAP and Reipertswiller expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.16
Metz ESAP and Reipertswiller attack and defence ratings
Metz ESAP
Reipertswiller
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Metz ESAP vs Reipertswiller markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Reipertswiller | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.6% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Metz ESAP | 22.6% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Reipertswiller | 53.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% |
| No | 38.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Reipertswiller win | 31.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 46.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.0% |
Metz ESAP vs Reipertswiller stats
Metz ESAP and Reipertswiller recent form
| Metz ESAP |
no matches on record |
| Reipertswiller |
no matches on record |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 0 completed matches.