Montigny
vs
Pontarlier
Garuda Lions Prediction: Pontarlier
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.27.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Montigny vs Pontarlier overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Montigny vs Pontarlier
| Probability | Montigny | Draw | Pontarlier |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.6% | 23.3% | 54.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 22.6% | 23.3% | 54.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Pontarlier
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.03 vs 1.27.
Montigny vs Pontarlier match preview
In the upcoming Coupe de France match, Montigny faces Pontarlier with a kickoff scheduled for November 15, 2026. According to our model, Montigny has a 23% probability of winning, while Pontarlier stands at 53%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2, occurring at a 10% likelihood. Both teams are expected to score, with a probability of 64%, and there is also a 64% chance that the match will feature over 2.5 goals.
Montigny has an expected goals figure of 1.28, in contrast to Pontarlier's 2.01. Recent form for Montigny is not available, while Pontarlier's latest result was a draw. The confidence grade for this forecast is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions provided.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Montigny and Pontarlier expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.30
Montigny and Pontarlier attack and defence ratings
Montigny
Pontarlier
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Marseille Endoume vs Toulon — team news & stats
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- Seyssinet-Pariset v Nimes — match page
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Montigny vs Pontarlier markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pontarlier | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Montigny | 22.6% |
| Draw | 23.3% | |
| Pontarlier | 54.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 36.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.4% |
| No | 36.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 45.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Pontarlier win | 32.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 45.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.5% |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | |
| 0-2 | 7.6% |
Montigny vs Pontarlier stats
Montigny and Pontarlier recent form
| Montigny |
no matches on record |
| Pontarlier |
D |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.