Montreuil
vs
Loon-Plage
Garuda Lions Prediction: Loon-Plage
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.13.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Montreuil vs Loon-Plage overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Montreuil vs Loon-Plage
| Probability | Montreuil | Draw | Loon-Plage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.8% | 24.7% | 53.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 21.8% | 24.7% | 53.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Loon-Plage
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.87 vs 1.13.
Montreuil vs Loon-Plage match preview
Montreuil faces Loon-Plage in the Coupe de France with a kickoff scheduled for November 15, 2026. According to our model, Montreuil has a 22% chance of winning, while Loon-Plage is favored at 53%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring with a 10% probability. Expected goals for Montreuil stand at 1.14, compared to Loon-Plage's 1.85.
Recent form shows Montreuil with a record of L-W-D-W, while Loon-Plage has drawn their last match. The probabilities indicate a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% likelihood that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this matchup is rated as C, reflecting moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Montreuil and Loon-Plage expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.00
Montreuil and Loon-Plage attack and defence ratings
Montreuil
Loon-Plage
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
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- Riom vs Limonest
- Stade Pontivy vs Stade Plabennec — team news & stats
- Marseille Endoume vs Toulon — team news & stats
- Senlis vs St-Pryvé St-Hilaire
- Seyssinet-Pariset v Nimes — match page
- Rochefort vs Juventus Papus — team news & stats
Montreuil vs Loon-Plage markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Loon-Plage | 53.5% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.2% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.5% | 2.15 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Montreuil | 21.8% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| Loon-Plage | 53.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.3% |
| No | 41.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Loon-Plage win | 31.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 46.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.7% |
Montreuil vs Loon-Plage stats
Montreuil and Loon-Plage recent form
| Montreuil |
LWDW |
| Loon-Plage |
D |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.