OCPAM
vs
Olympique Marcquois
Garuda Lions Prediction: Olympique Marcquois
0 – 2 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.34 vs 0.86.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
OCPAM vs Olympique Marcquois overview
Garuda Lions analysis: OCPAM vs Olympique Marcquois
| Probability | OCPAM | Draw | Olympique Marcquois |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 11.3% | 19.1% | 69.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 11.3% | 19.1% | 69.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Olympique Marcquois
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.34 vs 0.86.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 3 vs 0 for the opposition.
OCPAM vs Olympique Marcquois match preview
OCPAM faces Olympique Marcquois in the Coupe de France with a significant difference in expected performance. Our model gives OCPAM a 12% chance of winning, while Olympique Marcquois stands at 69%. The most likely scoreline is 0-2, with an 11% probability. OCPAM has struggled recently, losing their last two matches, while Olympique Marcquois has shown some resilience, bouncing back with two wins after a loss.
The expected goals further illustrate the disparity, with OCPAM projected to score 0.87 and Olympique Marcquois at 2.32. Additionally, there is a 62% likelihood of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match, and both teams have a 53% chance of scoring. With a confidence grade of C, the outcome remains uncertain but leans heavily in favor of Olympique Marcquois.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
OCPAM and Olympique Marcquois expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.20
OCPAM and Olympique Marcquois attack and defence ratings
OCPAM
Olympique Marcquois
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
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- Riom vs Limonest
- Stade Pontivy vs Stade Plabennec — team news & stats
- Marseille Endoume vs Toulon — team news & stats
- Senlis vs St-Pryvé St-Hilaire
- Seyssinet-Pariset v Nimes — match page
- Rochefort vs Juventus Papus — team news & stats
OCPAM vs Olympique Marcquois markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Olympique Marcquois | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 88.7% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Olympique Marcquois win | 47.4% | 2.11 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | OCPAM | 11.3% |
| Draw | 19.1% | |
| Olympique Marcquois | 69.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.0% |
| No | 47.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 30.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 88.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Olympique Marcquois win | 47.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 30.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 11.1% |
| 1-2 | 9.6% | |
| 1-1 | 9.0% |
OCPAM vs Olympique Marcquois stats
OCPAM and Olympique Marcquois recent form
| OCPAM |
LL |
| Olympique Marcquois |
LWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.