Perros-Louannec
vs
Vannes
Garuda Lions Prediction: Vannes
1 β 2 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.27.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Perros-Louannec vs Vannes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Perros-Louannec vs Vannes
| Probability | Perros-Louannec | Draw | Vannes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.5% | 25.0% | 49.4% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 25.5% | 25.0% | 49.4% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Vannes
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.27.
Perros-Louannec vs Vannes match preview
Perros-Louannec faces Vannes in the Coupe de France, with the model assigning a 26% probability of a win for Perros-Louannec, a 25% chance for a draw, and a 49% likelihood of a Vannes victory. The expected goals indicate Perros-Louannec at 1.28 and Vannes at 1.81, suggesting a competitive match. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 10%.
The model forecasts a high chance of goals, with a 60% probability for over 2.5 goals and a 61% likelihood that both teams will score. Recent form for Perros-Louannec is not available, while Vannes comes off a loss. The overall confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Perros-Louannec and Vannes expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.09
Perros-Louannec and Vannes attack and defence ratings
Perros-Louannec
Vannes
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Perros-Louannec vs Vannes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Vannes | 49.4% | 2.02 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.7% | 1.67 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.3% | 1.63 | β | β |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.0% | 1.33 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.6% | 1.98 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Perros-Louannec | 25.5% |
| Draw | 25.0% | |
| Vannes | 49.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.3% |
| No | 38.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Vannes win | 28.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.3% | |
| Loss | 50.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 1-2 | 9.6% | |
| 0-2 | 7.6% |
Perros-Louannec vs Vannes stats
Perros-Louannec and Vannes recent form
| no matches on record | |
| L |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.