Coupe de France Β· Β·1/128-finals

Perros-Louannec vs Vannes

Garuda Lions Prediction: Vannes

1 – 2 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.27.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Perros-Louannec 26%
Draw 25%
Vannes 49%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Vannes wins
49%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
94%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
61%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
10% of simulated outcomes

Perros-Louannec vs Vannes overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Perros-Louannec vs Vannes

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPerros-LouannecDrawVannes
Model25.5%25.0%49.4%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final25.5%25.0%49.4%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Vannes

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.82 vs 1.27.

Perros-Louannec vs Vannes match preview

Perros-Louannec faces Vannes in the Coupe de France, with the model assigning a 26% probability of a win for Perros-Louannec, a 25% chance for a draw, and a 49% likelihood of a Vannes victory. The expected goals indicate Perros-Louannec at 1.28 and Vannes at 1.81, suggesting a competitive match. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 10%.

The model forecasts a high chance of goals, with a 60% probability for over 2.5 goals and a 61% likelihood that both teams will score. Recent form for Perros-Louannec is not available, while Vannes comes off a loss. The overall confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Perros-Louanne ↓ / Vannes β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 1 12% 10% 6% 2 7% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 6%

Perros-Louannec and Vannes expected goals

Perros-Louannec 1.27
Vannes 1.82

Total expected goals: 3.09

Perros-Louannec and Vannes attack and defence ratings

Perros-Louannec

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Vannes

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other 1/128-finals fixtures

Coupe de France

Perros-Louannec vs Vannes markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Vannes 49.4% 2.02 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.7% 1.67 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 61.3% 1.63 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 75.0% 1.33 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 50.6% 1.98 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Perros-Louannec25.5%
Draw25.0%
Vannes49.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.7%
Under 2.540.3%
Both teams to scoreYes61.3%
No38.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)50.6%
12 (either side)75.0%
X2 (draw or away)74.5%
Handicap -1Vannes win28.1%
Push (exactly one goal)21.3%
Loss50.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.6%
1-29.6%
0-27.6%

Perros-Louannec vs Vannes stats

Perros-Louannec and Vannes recent form

newest first
Perros-Louannec no matches on record
Vannes L

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Perros-Louannec vs Vannes head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Perros-Louannec vs Vannes odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Vannes Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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