Coupe de France Β· Β·1/128-finals

Sottevillais vs Fecamp

Garuda Lions Prediction: Fecamp

1 – 2 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.21.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Sottevillais 23%
Draw 24%
Fecamp 53%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Fecamp wins
53%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
95%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
61%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
10% of simulated outcomes

Sottevillais vs Fecamp overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Sottevillais vs Fecamp

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySottevillaisDrawFecamp
Model22.6%24.0%53.4%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final22.6%24.0%53.4%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Fecamp

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.21.

Sottevillais vs Fecamp match preview

In the upcoming Coupe de France match, Sottevillais faces Fecamp with a probability of 23% for a Sottevillais win, while a draw stands at 24% and Fecamp is favored at 53%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 10%.

Both teams are expected to contribute to an engaging match, with a 61% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance that both teams will score. The expected goals for Sottevillais are 1.22, while Fecamp is forecasted to achieve 1.93. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, indicating moderate certainty in the outcome.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Sottevillais ↓ / Fecamp β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 1 11% 10% 6% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Sottevillais and Fecamp expected goals

Sottevillais 1.21
Fecamp 1.94

Total expected goals: 3.16

Sottevillais and Fecamp attack and defence ratings

Sottevillais

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Fecamp

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other 1/128-finals fixtures

Coupe de France

Sottevillais vs Fecamp markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Fecamp 53.4% 1.87 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.1% 1.64 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 61.2% 1.63 β€” β€”
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 77.4% 1.29 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 46.6% 2.14 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Sottevillais22.6%
Draw24.0%
Fecamp53.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.1%
Under 2.538.9%
Both teams to scoreYes61.2%
No38.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)46.6%
12 (either side)76.0%
X2 (draw or away)77.4%
Handicap -1Fecamp win31.7%
Push (exactly one goal)21.7%
Loss46.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.0%
1-29.8%
0-28.0%

Sottevillais vs Fecamp stats

Sottevillais and Fecamp recent form

newest first
Sottevillais no matches on record
Fecamp no matches on record

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 0 completed matches.

Sottevillais vs Fecamp head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Sottevillais vs Fecamp odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Fecamp Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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