Pontivy GSI
vs
TA Rennes
Garuda Lions Prediction: TA Rennes
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Pontivy GSI vs TA Rennes overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pontivy GSI vs TA Rennes
| Probability | Pontivy GSI | Draw | TA Rennes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 35.2% | 27.5% | 37.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 35.2% | 27.5% | 37.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Pontivy GSI vs TA Rennes match preview
In the upcoming Coupe de France match, Pontivy GSI faces TA Rennes with a predicted probability of 35% for a Pontivy GSI win, 28% for a draw, and 37% for a TA Rennes victory. The most likely scoreline from our model suggests a 1-2 outcome in favor of TA Rennes, occurring with an 8% probability.
Both teams are expected to contribute to a competitive match, with over 2.5 goals forecasted at 54% and both teams to score at 58%. The expected goals for Pontivy GSI stand at 1.39, while TA Rennes has a slightly higher expected goal count of 1.43. Recent form shows Pontivy GSI with a mixed record of L-W-W, while TA Rennes has drawn their last match. The overall confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Pontivy GSI and TA Rennes expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.82
Pontivy GSI and TA Rennes attack and defence ratings
Pontivy GSI
TA Rennes
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Pontivy GSI vs TA Rennes markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | TA Rennes | 37.3% | 2.68 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.6% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.4% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pontivy GSI | 35.2% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| TA Rennes | 37.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.4% |
| No | 41.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 62.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | TA Rennes win | 18.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.2% | |
| Loss | 62.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.0% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
Pontivy GSI vs TA Rennes stats
Pontivy GSI and TA Rennes recent form
| Pontivy GSI |
LWW |
| TA Rennes |
D |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 3 completed matches.