Racing Besançon
vs
APM Metz
Garuda Lions Prediction: Racing Besançon
2 – 1 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 1 wins in the last 2 vs 0 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Racing Besançon vs APM Metz overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Racing Besançon vs APM Metz
| Probability | Racing Besançon | Draw | APM Metz |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.5% | 27.8% | 35.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 36.5% | 27.8% | 35.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Racing Besançon
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 2 vs 0 for the opposition.
Racing Besançon vs APM Metz match preview
Racing Besançon faces APM Metz in the Coupe de France, with both teams having a 36% probability of winning according to our model. The likelihood of a draw stands at 28%. The expected goals are closely matched, with Racing Besançon at 1.40 and APM Metz at 1.38. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Racing Besançon, occurring with an 8% probability.
In terms of recent form, Racing Besançon has a record of one win and one loss, while APM Metz has one loss and one draw. The model suggests there is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% probability that both teams will score in the match. The confidence grade for this forecast is rated as C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Racing Besançon and APM Metz expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.78
Racing Besançon and APM Metz attack and defence ratings
Racing Besançon
APM Metz
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
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- Pontivy GSI vs TA Rennes — team news & stats
- Saint-Omer v Vire — match page
- Vitré vs Saint-Pierre Milizac — team news & stats
- Caen PTT vs Chambly Thelle FC
- Cournon vs Chassieu Décines
- Le Touquet v Avranches — match page
Racing Besançon vs APM Metz markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Racing Besançon | 36.5% | 2.74 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.2% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Racing Besançon | 36.5% |
| Draw | 27.8% | |
| APM Metz | 35.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.6% |
| No | 42.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Racing Besançon win | 17.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 63.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 2-1 | 8.4% | |
| 1-2 | 8.3% |
Racing Besançon vs APM Metz stats
Racing Besançon and APM Metz recent form
| Racing Besançon |
LW |
| APM Metz |
LD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.