Coupe de France · Full time ·1/128-finals

SAG Cestas vs Bayonne

0 – 1 Full time

SAG Cestas 36%
Draw 26%
Bayonne 38%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

SAG Cestas vs Bayonne overview

Garuda Lions analysis: SAG Cestas vs Bayonne

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySAG CestasDrawBayonne
Model36.3%26.1%37.6%
Market———
Final36.3%26.1%37.6%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

SAG Cestas ↓ / Bayonne → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 1 12% 9% 2 8% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 82%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 6%

SAG Cestas and Bayonne expected goals

SAG Cestas 1.51
Bayonne 1.57

Total expected goals: 3.08

SAG Cestas and Bayonne attack and defence ratings

SAG Cestas

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Bayonne

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.26 +26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

SAG Cestas vs Bayonne: result vs prediction

SAG Cestas 0 – 1 Bayonne

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other 1/128-finals fixtures

Coupe de France

SAG Cestas vs Bayonne markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bayonne 37.6% 2.66 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.5% 1.68 — —
Both teams to score Yes 62.8% 1.59 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.9% 1.35 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 61.6% 1.62 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2SAG Cestas36.3%
Draw26.1%
Bayonne37.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.5%
Under 2.540.5%
Both teams to scoreYes62.8%
No37.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)62.4%
12 (either side)73.9%
X2 (draw or away)63.7%
Handicap -1Bayonne win19.5%
Push (exactly one goal)18.8%
Loss61.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.0%
1-28.5%
2-18.3%

SAG Cestas vs Bayonne stats

SAG Cestas and Bayonne recent form

newest first
SAG Cestas no matches on record
Bayonne LL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

SAG Cestas vs Bayonne head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

SAG Cestas vs Bayonne odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.