Coupe de France
·
Full time
·1/128-finals
Saint-Brieuc
vs
Rouen
0 – 1 Full time
Saint-Brieuc
19%
Draw
27%
Rouen
54%
Saint-Brieuc vs Rouen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Saint-Brieuc vs Rouen
| Probability | Saint-Brieuc | Draw | Rouen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.1% | 26.9% | 54.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 19.1% | 26.9% | 54.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Rouen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 0.88.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 4 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
73%
3+ goals
46%
No goals
9%
Saint-Brieuc and Rouen expected goals
Saint-Brieuc
0.88
Rouen
1.66
Total expected goals: 2.53
Saint-Brieuc and Rouen attack and defence ratings
Saint-Brieuc
Attack
0.94 -6%
Defence
1.04 +4%
Rouen
Attack
0.81 -19%
Defence
0.78 -22%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Saint-Brieuc vs Rouen: result vs prediction
Saint-Brieuc 0 – 1 Rouen
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Club Franciscain vs Aiglon — team news & stats
- Sporting Baie-Mahault vs Siroco Les Abymes — team news & stats
- Olympique Cayenne vs Etoile Matoury
- Chambéry vs Grenoble
- Dijon vs Orleans
- St-Philbert Gd Lieu v La Roche VF — match page
- La Neuvillette v Valenciennes — match page
- Le Puy Foot vs Diables Noirs
Saint-Brieuc vs Rouen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Rouen | 54.0% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.5% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.9% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.3% | 2.21 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Saint-Brieuc | 19.1% |
| Draw | 26.9% | |
| Rouen | 54.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.5% |
| No | 51.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Rouen win | 30.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 45.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.8% |
| 0-1 | 12.0% | |
| 0-2 | 10.8% |
Saint-Brieuc vs Rouen stats
Saint-Brieuc and Rouen recent form
| Saint-Brieuc |
L |
| Rouen |
LDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.