Coupe de France Β· Β·1/128-finals

Saint-Omer vs Vire

Garuda Lions Prediction: Vire

1 – 2 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.15.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Stade Gaston Bonnet, Saint-Omer

Saint-Omer 23%
Draw 25%
Vire 52%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Vire wins
52%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
94%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
58%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
10% of simulated outcomes

Saint-Omer vs Vire overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Saint-Omer vs Vire

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySaint-OmerDrawVire
Model23.1%25.2%51.6%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final23.1%25.2%51.6%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Vire

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.15.

Saint-Omer vs Vire match preview

In the upcoming Coupe de France match, Saint-Omer faces Vire with a kickoff scheduled for November 14, 2026. According to our model, Vire holds a 52% probability of winning, while Saint-Omer stands at 23%, and a draw is estimated at 25%. The expected goals for Saint-Omer are 1.15, compared to Vire's 1.81, indicating a potential advantage for Vire in offensive performance.

The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 10%. Additionally, there is a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals in the match, and both teams scoring is estimated at 58%. Saint-Omer's recent form shows a draw, while Vire's form is not available for analysis. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Saint-Omer ↓ / Vire β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 6% 8% 8% 1 12% 10% 2 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 81%
3+ goals 57%
No goals 6%

Saint-Omer and Vire expected goals

Saint-Omer 1.15
Vire 1.81

Total expected goals: 2.96

Saint-Omer and Vire attack and defence ratings

Saint-Omer

Attack 0.94 -6%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Vire

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other 1/128-finals fixtures

Coupe de France

Saint-Omer vs Vire markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Vire 51.6% 1.94 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 56.8% 1.76 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 58.3% 1.72 β€” β€”
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 76.9% 1.30 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 48.4% 2.07 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Saint-Omer23.1%
Draw25.2%
Vire51.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.556.8%
Under 2.543.2%
Both teams to scoreYes58.3%
No41.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)48.4%
12 (either side)74.8%
X2 (draw or away)76.9%
Handicap -1Vire win29.6%
Push (exactly one goal)22.1%
Loss48.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.9%
1-29.8%
0-28.5%

Saint-Omer vs Vire stats

Saint-Omer and Vire recent form

newest first
Saint-Omer D
Vire no matches on record

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.

Saint-Omer vs Vire head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Saint-Omer vs Vire odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Vire Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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