Coupe de France Β· Β·1/128-finals

Talange vs Baume Dames

Garuda Lions Prediction: Baume Dames

1 – 2 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.21.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Talange 23%
Draw 24%
Baume Dames 53%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Baume Dames wins
53%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
95%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
61%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
10% of simulated outcomes

Talange vs Baume Dames overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Talange vs Baume Dames

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTalangeDrawBaume Dames
Model22.6%24.0%53.4%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final22.6%24.0%53.4%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Baume Dames

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.21.

Talange vs Baume Dames match preview

In the upcoming Coupe de France match between Talange and Baume Dames, the model indicates a competitive encounter, with Talange holding a 23% chance of victory, while Baume Dames is favored at 53%. The likelihood of a draw stands at 24%. The most probable scoreline is 1-2 in favor of Baume Dames, occurring at a rate of 10%.

The expected goals for the match suggest Talange will score approximately 1.23, while Baume Dames is projected to net around 1.93. Additionally, there is a 61% probability for over 2.5 goals and the same percentage for both teams to score. The confidence grade for this forecast is rated as C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Talange ↓ / Baume Dames β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 1 11% 10% 6% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Talange and Baume Dames expected goals

Talange 1.21
Baume Dames 1.94

Total expected goals: 3.16

Talange and Baume Dames attack and defence ratings

Talange

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Baume Dames

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other 1/128-finals fixtures

Coupe de France

Talange vs Baume Dames markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Baume Dames 53.4% 1.87 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.1% 1.64 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 61.2% 1.63 β€” β€”
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 77.4% 1.29 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 46.6% 2.14 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Talange22.6%
Draw24.0%
Baume Dames53.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.1%
Under 2.538.9%
Both teams to scoreYes61.2%
No38.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)46.6%
12 (either side)76.0%
X2 (draw or away)77.4%
Handicap -1Baume Dames win31.7%
Push (exactly one goal)21.7%
Loss46.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.0%
1-29.8%
0-28.0%

Talange vs Baume Dames stats

Talange and Baume Dames recent form

newest first
Talange no matches on record
Baume Dames no matches on record

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 0 completed matches.

Talange vs Baume Dames head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Talange vs Baume Dames odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Baume Dames Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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