Coupe de France
·
Full time
·1/128-finals
Tinteniac
vs
Concarneau
1 – 4 Full time
Tinteniac
18%
Draw
21%
Concarneau
61%
Tinteniac vs Concarneau overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tinteniac vs Concarneau
| Probability | Tinteniac | Draw | Concarneau |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.9% | 20.7% | 61.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 17.9% | 20.7% | 61.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Concarneau
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.36 vs 1.20.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
88%
3+ goals
69%
No goals
4%
Tinteniac and Concarneau expected goals
Tinteniac
1.20
Concarneau
2.36
Total expected goals: 3.56
Tinteniac and Concarneau attack and defence ratings
Tinteniac
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Concarneau
Attack
1.20 +20%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tinteniac vs Concarneau: result vs prediction
Tinteniac 1 – 4 Concarneau
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
- Club Franciscain vs Aiglon — team news & stats
- Sporting Baie-Mahault vs Siroco Les Abymes — team news & stats
- Olympique Cayenne vs Etoile Matoury
- Chambéry vs Grenoble
- Dijon vs Orleans
- St-Philbert Gd Lieu v La Roche VF — match page
- La Neuvillette v Valenciennes — match page
- Le Puy Foot vs Diables Noirs
Tinteniac vs Concarneau markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Concarneau | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.8% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.4% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Concarneau win | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tinteniac | 17.9% |
| Draw | 20.7% | |
| Concarneau | 61.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.4% |
| No | 35.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 38.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 82.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Concarneau win | 41.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.1% | |
| Loss | 37.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.5% |
| 1-1 | 9.0% | |
| 0-2 | 7.8% |
Tinteniac vs Concarneau stats
Tinteniac and Concarneau recent form
| Tinteniac |
no matches on record |
| Concarneau |
LWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.