Tremblay
vs
Maisons Alfort
Garuda Lions Prediction: Maisons Alfort
1 β 2 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.21.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Tremblay vs Maisons Alfort overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tremblay vs Maisons Alfort
| Probability | Tremblay | Draw | Maisons Alfort |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.6% | 24.0% | 53.4% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 22.6% | 24.0% | 53.4% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Maisons Alfort
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.21.
Tremblay vs Maisons Alfort match preview
In the upcoming Coupe de France match, Tremblay faces Maisons Alfort with kickoff scheduled for November 15, 2026. According to our model, Tremblay has a 23% chance of winning, while Maisons Alfort is favored at 53%. The probability of a draw stands at 24%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2 in favor of Maisons Alfort, occurring at a rate of 10%.
Both teams are expected to contribute to an engaging match, with our model suggesting a 61% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and the same percentage for both teams to score. Expected goals are calculated at 1.23 for Tremblay and 1.93 for Maisons Alfort, indicating a potentially high-scoring encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tremblay and Maisons Alfort expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.16
Tremblay and Maisons Alfort attack and defence ratings
Tremblay
Maisons Alfort
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Tremblay vs Maisons Alfort markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maisons Alfort | 53.4% | 1.87 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | β | β |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.4% | 1.29 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.6% | 2.14 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tremblay | 22.6% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Maisons Alfort | 53.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% |
| No | 38.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Maisons Alfort win | 31.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 46.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.0% |
Tremblay vs Maisons Alfort stats
Tremblay and Maisons Alfort recent form
| no matches on record | |
| no matches on record |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 0 completed matches.