Coupe de France Β· Β·1/128-finals

Tremblay vs Maisons Alfort

Garuda Lions Prediction: Maisons Alfort

1 – 2 Predicted score Β· 10% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.21.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Tremblay 23%
Draw 24%
Maisons Alfort 53%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Maisons Alfort wins
53%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
95%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
61%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
10% of simulated outcomes

Tremblay vs Maisons Alfort overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Tremblay vs Maisons Alfort

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTremblayDrawMaisons Alfort
Model22.6%24.0%53.4%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final22.6%24.0%53.4%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Maisons Alfort

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.21.

Tremblay vs Maisons Alfort match preview

In the upcoming Coupe de France match, Tremblay faces Maisons Alfort with kickoff scheduled for November 15, 2026. According to our model, Tremblay has a 23% chance of winning, while Maisons Alfort is favored at 53%. The probability of a draw stands at 24%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2 in favor of Maisons Alfort, occurring at a rate of 10%.

Both teams are expected to contribute to an engaging match, with our model suggesting a 61% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and the same percentage for both teams to score. Expected goals are calculated at 1.23 for Tremblay and 1.93 for Maisons Alfort, indicating a potentially high-scoring encounter.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Tremblay ↓ / Maisons Alfort β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 7% 8% 1 11% 10% 6% 2 6% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 61%
No goals 5%

Tremblay and Maisons Alfort expected goals

Tremblay 1.21
Maisons Alfort 1.94

Total expected goals: 3.16

Tremblay and Maisons Alfort attack and defence ratings

Tremblay

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Maisons Alfort

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other 1/128-finals fixtures

Coupe de France

Tremblay vs Maisons Alfort markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Maisons Alfort 53.4% 1.87 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 61.1% 1.64 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 61.2% 1.63 β€” β€”
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 77.4% 1.29 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 46.6% 2.14 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Tremblay22.6%
Draw24.0%
Maisons Alfort53.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.561.1%
Under 2.538.9%
Both teams to scoreYes61.2%
No38.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)46.6%
12 (either side)76.0%
X2 (draw or away)77.4%
Handicap -1Maisons Alfort win31.7%
Push (exactly one goal)21.7%
Loss46.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.0%
1-29.8%
0-28.0%

Tremblay vs Maisons Alfort stats

Tremblay and Maisons Alfort recent form

newest first
Tremblay no matches on record
Maisons Alfort no matches on record

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 0 completed matches.

Tremblay vs Maisons Alfort head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Tremblay vs Maisons Alfort odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Maisons Alfort Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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