Violaines
vs
US Vermelles
Garuda Lions Prediction: US Vermelles
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.21.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Violaines vs US Vermelles overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Violaines vs US Vermelles
| Probability | Violaines | Draw | US Vermelles |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.6% | 24.0% | 53.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 22.6% | 24.0% | 53.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why US Vermelles
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.21.
Violaines vs US Vermelles match preview
In the upcoming Coupe de France match, Violaines faces US Vermelles, with our model predicting a 23% chance of a Violaines victory, a 24% chance of a draw, and a 53% likelihood of a US Vermelles win. The most probable scoreline is 1-2, occurring at a 10% frequency according to our analysis.
The expected goals for Violaines stand at 1.23, while US Vermelles is forecasted to score 1.93. Additionally, there is a 61% chance of the match featuring over 2.5 goals, and both teams are also projected to score, with a 61% probability. The confidence grade for this forecast is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Violaines and US Vermelles expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.16
Violaines and US Vermelles attack and defence ratings
Violaines
US Vermelles
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other 1/128-finals fixtures
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- Riom vs Limonest
- Stade Pontivy vs Stade Plabennec — team news & stats
- Marseille Endoume vs Toulon — team news & stats
- Senlis vs St-Pryvé St-Hilaire
- Seyssinet-Pariset v Nimes — match page
- Rochefort vs Juventus Papus — team news & stats
Violaines vs US Vermelles markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | US Vermelles | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.6% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Violaines | 22.6% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| US Vermelles | 53.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% |
| No | 38.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | US Vermelles win | 31.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 46.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.0% |
Violaines vs US Vermelles stats
Violaines and US Vermelles recent form
| Violaines |
no matches on record |
| US Vermelles |
no matches on record |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 0 completed matches.