Yerres Crosne
vs
Union Cosnoise
Garuda Lions Prediction: Union Cosnoise
1 – 2 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.21.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Yerres Crosne vs Union Cosnoise overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Yerres Crosne vs Union Cosnoise
| Probability | Yerres Crosne | Draw | Union Cosnoise |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 22.6% | 24.0% | 53.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 22.6% | 24.0% | 53.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Union Cosnoise
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.94 vs 1.21.
Yerres Crosne vs Union Cosnoise match preview
Yerres Crosne faces Union Cosnoise in the Coupe de France, with kickoff set for November 15, 2026. According to our model, Yerres Crosne has a 23% chance of winning, while Union Cosnoise is favored at 53%. The probability of a draw stands at 24%. The expected goals for Yerres Crosne is 1.23, compared to 1.93 for Union Cosnoise, suggesting a competitive match.
Our model predicts a most likely scoreline of 1-2, with a 10% probability. Additionally, there is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored, and both teams are also expected to score with a 61% probability. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating moderate uncertainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Yerres Crosne and Union Cosnoise expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.16
Yerres Crosne and Union Cosnoise attack and defence ratings
Yerres Crosne
Union Cosnoise
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Yerres Crosne vs Union Cosnoise markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Union Cosnoise | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 77.4% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.6% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Yerres Crosne | 22.6% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Union Cosnoise | 53.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 61.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% |
| No | 38.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 77.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Union Cosnoise win | 31.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 46.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.0% |
| 1-2 | 9.8% | |
| 0-2 | 8.0% |
Yerres Crosne vs Union Cosnoise stats
Yerres Crosne and Union Cosnoise recent form
| Yerres Crosne |
no matches on record |
| Union Cosnoise |
no matches on record |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 0 completed matches.