Würzburger Kickers
vs
FC Cologne
1 – 2 Full time
Würzburger Kickers vs FC Cologne overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Würzburger Kickers vs FC Cologne
| Probability | Würzburger Kickers | Draw | FC Cologne |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 18.2% | 21.5% | 60.3% |
| Market | 11.6% | 16.9% | 71.5% |
| Final | 13.3% | 18.1% | 68.7% |
| Edge | +6.6% | +4.6% | -11.2% |
Why FC Cologne
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.22 vs 1.17.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Würzburger Kickers and FC Cologne expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.38
Würzburger Kickers and FC Cologne attack and defence ratings
Würzburger Kickers
FC Cologne
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Würzburger Kickers vs FC Cologne: result vs prediction
Würzburger Kickers 1 – 2 FC Cologne
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
- Preußen Münster v Karlsruher SC — match page
- Waldhof Mannheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern — team news & stats
- SC St. Tönis vs Eintracht Frankfurt
- Hansa Rostock v VfB Stuttgart — match page
- SV Wehen vs Bayer Leverkusen — team news & stats
- Energie Cottbus vs Augsburg
- MSV Duisburg v SV Elversberg — match page
- Erzgebirge Aue vs Hoffenheim — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Würzburger Kickers vs FC Cologne markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Cologne | 68.7% | 1.46 | -11.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.7% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 86.7% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Würzburger Kickers | 13.3% |
| Draw | 18.1% | |
| FC Cologne | 68.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.2% |
| No | 37.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 31.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 86.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Cologne win | 38.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 39.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 9.7% |
| 1-1 | 9.7% | |
| 0-2 | 8.3% |
Würzburger Kickers vs FC Cologne stats
Würzburger Kickers and FC Cologne recent form
| Würzburger Kickers |
WD |
| FC Cologne |
LLDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.
Würzburger Kickers vs FC Cologne head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Würzburger Kickers vs FC Cologne odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 11.6%, draw 16.9%, away 71.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 7.60 | 5.40 | 1.30 |
| 1xBet | 8.60 | 5.50 | 1.30 |
| 888Sport | 8.00 | 5.00 | 1.30 |
| Bet365 | 7.50 | 5.75 | 1.30 |
| BetVictor | 8.00 | 5.25 | 1.29 |
| Betano | 8.75 | 6.00 | 1.34 |
| Betfair | 8.00 | 5.50 | 1.25 |
| Dafabet | 8.40 | 6.00 | 1.33 |
| Marathonbet | 8.70 | 5.50 | 1.29 |
| Pinnacle | 8.18 | 5.64 | 1.32 |
| SBO | 6.95 | 5.22 | 1.30 |
| Superbet | 7.40 | 5.55 | 1.31 |
| Unibet | 8.00 | 5.40 | 1.32 |
| William Hill | 8.00 | 5.00 | 1.30 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .