Maccabi Petah Tikva
vs
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Garuda Lions Prediction: Hapoel Beer Sheva
1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Beer Sheva overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
| Probability | Maccabi Petah Tikva | Draw | Hapoel Beer Sheva |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 36.1% | 25.8% | 38.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 36.1% | 25.8% | 38.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Hapoel Beer Sheva
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Beer Sheva match preview
Maccabi Petah Tikva faces Hapoel Beer Sheva in an upcoming Ligat Ha'al match, with kickoff set for October 31, 2026. According to our model, Maccabi Petah Tikva has a 36% chance of winning, while Hapoel Beer Sheva is slightly favored at 38%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-2, occurring with an 8% probability. Both teams are expected to score, with a 64% likelihood, and there is a 61% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals.
In terms of recent form, Maccabi Petah Tikva has struggled, recording a sequence of six games with five losses and one win. Conversely, Hapoel Beer Sheva has shown more resilience, with two wins, one draw, and three losses in their last six matches. The expected goals are closely matched, with Maccabi Petah Tikva at 1.55 and Hapoel Beer Sheva at 1.59, indicating a competitive encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Maccabi Petah Tikva and Hapoel Beer Sheva expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.14
Maccabi Petah Tikva and Hapoel Beer Sheva attack and defence ratings
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Beer Sheva markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 38.1% | 2.62 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 36.1% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva | 38.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.8% |
| No | 36.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hapoel Beer Sheva win | 19.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.6% | |
| Loss | 61.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.7% |
| 1-2 | 8.5% | |
| 2-1 | 8.2% |
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Beer Sheva stats
Maccabi Petah Tikva and Hapoel Beer Sheva recent form
| Maccabi Petah Tikva |
WLLLLL |
| Hapoel Beer Sheva |
LWLWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Maccabi Petah Tikva and Hapoel Beer Sheva season so far
Maccabi Petah Tikva record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
Hapoel Beer Sheva record
- They have won 5 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- 41% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.