Beitar Jerusalem
vs
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Garuda Lions Prediction: Beitar Jerusalem
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 0.79.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Beitar Jerusalem is the favourite, not a value bet.
Beitar Jerusalem vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Beitar Jerusalem vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona
| Probability | Beitar Jerusalem | Draw | Ironi Kiryat Shmona |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.2% | 25.9% | 15.9% |
| Market | 64.3% | 20.0% | 15.6% |
| Final | 62.8% | 21.5% | 15.7% |
| Edge | -1.5% | +1.5% | +0.1% |
Why Beitar Jerusalem
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 0.79.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.47, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -7.7% per unit staked (our 62.8% × 1.47 − 1).
Beitar Jerusalem vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona match preview
Beitar Jerusalem enters the match against Ironi Kiryat Shmona with a strong probability of winning at 57%. Their recent form shows a mix of results, with four wins in their last six matches, while Ironi Kiryat Shmona has struggled significantly, losing all six of their most recent games. The expected goals for Beitar Jerusalem stand at 1.75 compared to Ironi Kiryat Shmona's 0.86, indicating a clear advantage for the home side.
The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, occurring with a 12% probability. Additionally, there is a nearly even chance of both teams scoring, at 49%, while the probability of over 2.5 goals is at 48%. Historically, Beitar Jerusalem has won both of their last encounters against Ironi Kiryat Shmona, further supporting their favorable outlook for this match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Beitar Jerusalem and Ironi Kiryat Shmona expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.49
Beitar Jerusalem and Ironi Kiryat Shmona attack and defence ratings
Beitar Jerusalem
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Beitar Jerusalem vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Beitar Jerusalem | 62.8% | 1.59 | -1.5% | 1.47 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.8% | 2.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Beitar Jerusalem | 62.8% |
| Draw | 21.5% | |
| Ironi Kiryat Shmona | 15.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.7% |
| No | 54.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Beitar Jerusalem win | 33.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.8% | |
| Loss | 41.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.0% |
| 1-1 | 12.2% | |
| 2-0 | 12.0% |
Beitar Jerusalem vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona stats
Beitar Jerusalem and Ironi Kiryat Shmona recent form
| Beitar Jerusalem |
WDWWWW |
| Ironi Kiryat Shmona |
LLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Beitar Jerusalem and Ironi Kiryat Shmona season so far
Beitar Jerusalem record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Ironi Kiryat Shmona record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Beitar Jerusalem vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-04 | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al | 1-2 |
| 2025-09-20 | Beitar Jerusalem | Ironi Kiryat Shmona | Ligat Ha'al | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Beitar Jerusalem vs Ironi Kiryat Shmona odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 64.3%, draw 20.0%, away 15.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.43 | 4.80 | 5.94 |
| Betano | 1.47 | 4.45 | 5.60 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.60 | 6.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.45 | 4.60 | 5.88 |
| William Hill | 1.36 | 4.50 | 5.80 |