Ironi Tiberias
vs
Beitar Jerusalem
Garuda Lions Prediction: Beitar Jerusalem
0 – 1 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Beitar Jerusalem is the favourite, not a value bet.
Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem
| Probability | Ironi Tiberias | Draw | Beitar Jerusalem |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 28.4% | 31.5% | 40.2% |
| Market | 11.5% | 16.8% | 71.8% |
| Final | 15.7% | 20.4% | 63.9% |
| Edge | +4.2% | +3.7% | -7.9% |
Why Beitar Jerusalem
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.34, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -14.4% per unit staked (our 63.9% × 1.34 − 1).
Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem match preview
Ironi Tiberias faces Beitar Jerusalem in an upcoming Ligat Ha'al match, with the probabilities indicating a strong advantage for the visitors. Ironi Tiberias has a 16% chance of winning, while Beitar Jerusalem is favored at 63%. The most likely scoreline predicted by the model is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 12%. The expected goals for Ironi Tiberias stand at 0.99, compared to Beitar Jerusalem's 1.22.
Recent form shows Ironi Tiberias struggling with two draws and four losses in their last six matches, while Beitar Jerusalem has performed better, with three wins and three draws in the same period. In their last two encounters, Beitar Jerusalem has secured two victories against Ironi Tiberias, highlighting their dominance in this matchup. The confidence grade for this prediction is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ironi Tiberias and Beitar Jerusalem expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.21
Ironi Tiberias and Beitar Jerusalem attack and defence ratings
Ironi Tiberias
Beitar Jerusalem
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Beitar Jerusalem | 63.9% | 1.57 | -7.9% | 1.34 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.1% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 59.8% | 1.67 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ironi Tiberias | 15.7% |
| Draw | 20.4% | |
| Beitar Jerusalem | 63.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.5% |
| No | 54.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 36.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 79.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Beitar Jerusalem win | 18.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.0% | |
| Loss | 59.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.6% |
| 0-0 | 12.3% | |
| 0-1 | 12.1% |
Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem stats
Ironi Tiberias and Beitar Jerusalem recent form
| Ironi Tiberias |
DDLLLD |
| Beitar Jerusalem |
DWDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ironi Tiberias and Beitar Jerusalem season so far
Ironi Tiberias record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Beitar Jerusalem record
- They have won 5 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Beitar Jerusalem | Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al | 3-2 |
| 2025-12-27 | Ironi Tiberias | Beitar Jerusalem | State Cup | 1-2 |
| 2025-12-03 | Ironi Tiberias | Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al | 0-5 |
| 2024-12-23 | Beitar Jerusalem | Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al | 1-1 |
| 2024-08-31 | Ironi Tiberias | Beitar Jerusalem | Ligat Ha'al | 1-0 |
| 2023-01-03 | Beitar Jerusalem | Ironi Tiberias | State Cup | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Ironi Tiberias vs Beitar Jerusalem odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 11.6%, draw 16.8%, away 71.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 8.15 | 5.50 | 1.29 |
| Bet365 | 7.00 | 4.75 | 1.30 |
| BetVictor | 8.00 | 5.25 | 1.29 |
| Betano | 7.30 | 5.20 | 1.34 |
| Betfair | 8.00 | 5.50 | 1.25 |
| Dafabet | 7.60 | 5.20 | 1.32 |
| Marathonbet | 8.10 | 5.50 | 1.28 |
| Pinnacle | 8.66 | 5.85 | 1.28 |
| William Hill | 7.00 | 5.50 | 1.25 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
12 snapshots recorded, from .