Garuda Lions
Today
Ligat Ha'al · ·Matchday 10

Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Haifa

Garuda Lions Prediction: Hapoel Haifa

1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability

  • WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Hapoel Haifa is the favourite, not a value bet.
Bet on Hapoel Haifa

Kiryat Shmona Municipal Stadium, Kiryat Shmona

Ironi Kiryat Shmona 33%
Draw 27%
Hapoel Haifa 40%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Chance Hapoel Haifa wins
40%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
92%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
56%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
9% of simulated outcomes

Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Haifa overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Haifa

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityIroni Kiryat ShmonaDrawHapoel Haifa
Model29.9%28.0%42.1%
Market33.7%26.4%39.9%
Final32.8%26.8%40.5%
Edge-1.0%+0.4%+0.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Hapoel Haifa

  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Best available price on the pick: 2.40, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -2.9% per unit staked (our 40.5% × 2.40 − 1).

Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Haifa match preview

Ironi Kiryat Shmona faces Hapoel Haifa in a Ligat Ha'al match with Ironi Kiryat Shmona holding a 33% chance of victory, while Hapoel Haifa is favored at 40%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2 in favor of Hapoel Haifa, with a 9% probability. Expected goals are calculated at 1.21 for Ironi Kiryat Shmona and 1.48 for Hapoel Haifa.

Recent form shows Ironi Kiryat Shmona struggling with six consecutive matches without a win, while Hapoel Haifa has had mixed results, winning three of their last six. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51%, and both teams scoring is projected at 56%. In their last three encounters, Ironi Kiryat Shmona has won twice and drawn once against Hapoel Haifa.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ironi Kiryat S ↓ / Hapoel Haifa → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 9% 7% 1 7% 13% 9% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Ironi Kiryat Shmona and Hapoel Haifa expected goals

Ironi Kiryat Shmona 1.21
Hapoel Haifa 1.48

Total expected goals: 2.69

Ironi Kiryat Shmona and Hapoel Haifa attack and defence ratings

Ironi Kiryat Shmona

Attack 0.72 -28%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Hapoel Haifa

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Ligat Ha'al

Before and after this match

Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Haifa markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hapoel Haifa 40.5% 2.47 +0.5% 2.40
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.5% 1.98 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.5% 1.80 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 73.2% 1.37 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 57.9% 1.73 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ironi Kiryat Shmona32.8%
Draw26.8%
Hapoel Haifa40.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.5%
Under 2.549.5%
Both teams to scoreYes55.5%
No44.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)59.5%
12 (either side)73.2%
X2 (draw or away)67.2%
Handicap -1Hapoel Haifa win21.2%
Push (exactly one goal)20.9%
Loss57.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.4%
1-29.0%
0-18.8%
Compare prices for this pick

Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Haifa stats

Ironi Kiryat Shmona and Hapoel Haifa recent form

newest first
Ironi Kiryat Shmona DLLLLL
Hapoel Haifa WLLWLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ironi Kiryat Shmona and Hapoel Haifa season so far

league record

Ironi Kiryat Shmona record

  • They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 9 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Hapoel Haifa record

  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Haifa head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Ironi Kiryat Shmona wins 4Draws 1Hapoel Haifa wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-08Hapoel HaifaIroni Kiryat ShmonaToto Cup Ligat Al1-3
2026-07-10Hapoel HaifaIroni Kiryat ShmonaFriendlies Clubs0-0
2026-05-03Ironi Kiryat ShmonaHapoel HaifaLigat Ha'al2-0
2026-01-19Ironi Kiryat ShmonaHapoel HaifaLigat Ha'al3-1
2025-10-04Hapoel HaifaIroni Kiryat ShmonaLigat Ha'al0-0
2025-07-23Hapoel HaifaIroni Kiryat ShmonaToto Cup Ligat Al0-1
2025-02-24Hapoel HaifaIroni Kiryat ShmonaLigat Ha'al4-3
2024-11-29Ironi Kiryat ShmonaHapoel HaifaLigat Ha'al2-1
2024-08-04Hapoel HaifaIroni Kiryat ShmonaToto Cup Ligat Al1-1
2023-03-19Hapoel HaifaIroni Kiryat ShmonaLigat Ha'al1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ironi Kiryat Shmona vs Hapoel Haifa odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 34.0%, draw 26.3%, away 39.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.78 3.48 2.31
Bet365 2.55 3.30 2.35
BetVictor 2.70 3.50 2.30
Betano 2.72 3.35 2.40
Betfair 2.63 3.40 2.30
Dafabet 2.70 3.45 2.39
Marathonbet 2.76 3.48 2.29
Pinnacle 2.87 3.57 2.31
William Hill 2.70 3.50 2.15
Find the best place to bet

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.73 ▲ +0.04
X 3.49 ▲ +0.12
2 2.30 ▼ -0.10

11 snapshots recorded, from .

Prediction snapshot 2 Hapoel Haifa Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
v Bet Now