Hapoel Haifa
vs
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Garuda Lions Prediction: Hapoel Haifa
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.83.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Hapoel Haifa is the favourite, not a value bet.
Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
| Probability | Hapoel Haifa | Draw | Hapoel Petah Tikva |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.3% | 27.9% | 18.8% |
| Market | 49.2% | 25.4% | 25.4% |
| Final | 50.2% | 26.0% | 23.7% |
| Edge | +1.0% | +0.6% | -1.7% |
Why Hapoel Haifa
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.83.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 1.91, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.1% per unit staked (our 50.2% × 1.91 − 1).
Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva match preview
Hapoel Haifa is set to face Hapoel Petah Tikva with a 54% probability of winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 12% chance of occurring. Hapoel Haifa has shown mixed recent form, recording two losses, one win, one loss, and one draw in their last five matches. In contrast, Hapoel Petah Tikva has struggled, with four losses and one win in their recent games.
The expected goals for Hapoel Haifa stand at 1.65, while Hapoel Petah Tikva is projected to score 0.89. The likelihood of both teams scoring is at 49%, and there is a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match. In their last two head-to-head encounters, Hapoel Haifa has secured one win and one draw against Hapoel Petah Tikva.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hapoel Haifa and Hapoel Petah Tikva expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.38
Hapoel Haifa and Hapoel Petah Tikva attack and defence ratings
Hapoel Haifa
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hapoel Haifa | 50.2% | 1.99 | +1.0% | 1.91 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.5% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.5% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.7% | 2.14 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hapoel Haifa | 50.2% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Hapoel Petah Tikva | 23.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.5% |
| No | 54.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hapoel Haifa win | 28.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.6% | |
| Loss | 46.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.2% |
| 1-1 | 13.1% | |
| 2-0 | 11.2% |
Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva stats
Hapoel Haifa and Hapoel Petah Tikva recent form
| Hapoel Haifa |
LLWLWD |
| Hapoel Petah Tikva |
LLDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hapoel Haifa and Hapoel Petah Tikva season so far
Hapoel Haifa record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
Hapoel Petah Tikva record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | Hapoel Haifa | Ligat Ha'al | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Hapoel Haifa | Hapoel Petah Tikva | Ligat Ha'al | 2-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Hapoel Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 49.2%, draw 25.4%, away 25.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.87 | 3.70 | 3.70 |
| Betano | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.55 |
| Betfair | 1.85 | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| Pinnacle | 1.86 | 3.76 | 3.75 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 3.60 | 3.60 |