Bnei Sakhnin
vs
Ironi Tiberias
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bnei Sakhnin
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Bnei Sakhnin is the favourite, not a value bet.
Bnei Sakhnin vs Ironi Tiberias overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bnei Sakhnin vs Ironi Tiberias
| Probability | Bnei Sakhnin | Draw | Ironi Tiberias |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.7% | 35.7% | 37.6% |
| Market | 41.0% | 28.9% | 30.1% |
| Final | 37.4% | 30.6% | 32.0% |
| Edge | -3.6% | +1.7% | +1.9% |
Why Bnei Sakhnin
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Best available price on the pick: 2.30, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -14.0% per unit staked (our 37.4% × 2.30 − 1).
Bnei Sakhnin vs Ironi Tiberias match preview
Bnei Sakhnin faces Ironi Tiberias in a Ligat Ha'al matchup on October 31, 2026. According to our model, Bnei Sakhnin has a 37% probability of winning, while Ironi Tiberias stands at 32%, with a 31% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Bnei Sakhnin, occurring with a 12% probability. Expected goals are 0.78 for Bnei Sakhnin and 0.98 for Ironi Tiberias, indicating a closely contested match.
Recent form shows Bnei Sakhnin with two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, while Ironi Tiberias has one win, two draws, and two losses. In their last three head-to-head encounters, Bnei Sakhnin has won once and drawn twice, with Ironi Tiberias yet to secure a victory. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bnei Sakhnin and Ironi Tiberias expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.76
Bnei Sakhnin and Ironi Tiberias attack and defence ratings
Bnei Sakhnin
Ironi Tiberias
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bnei Sakhnin vs Ironi Tiberias markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bnei Sakhnin | 37.4% | 2.67 | -3.6% | 2.30 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.8% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bnei Sakhnin | 37.4% |
| Draw | 30.6% | |
| Ironi Tiberias | 32.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 74.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.2% |
| No | 64.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bnei Sakhnin win | 8.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.0% | |
| Loss | 73.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 18.5% |
| 0-1 | 15.5% | |
| 1-1 | 14.5% |
Bnei Sakhnin vs Ironi Tiberias stats
Bnei Sakhnin and Ironi Tiberias recent form
| Bnei Sakhnin |
WWDWLL |
| Ironi Tiberias |
DLLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bnei Sakhnin and Ironi Tiberias season so far
Bnei Sakhnin record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Ironi Tiberias record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Bnei Sakhnin vs Ironi Tiberias head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-18 | Bnei Sakhnin | Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al | 0-0 |
| 2026-01-24 | Ironi Tiberias | Bnei Sakhnin | Ligat Ha'al | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Bnei Sakhnin | Ironi Tiberias | Ligat Ha'al | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Bnei Sakhnin vs Ironi Tiberias odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 41.0%, draw 28.9%, away 30.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.30 | 3.20 | 3.02 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.15 | 3.20 |
| Betfair | 2.20 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| Pinnacle | 2.22 | 3.25 | 3.24 |
| William Hill | 2.15 | 3.10 | 3.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .