Maccabi Netanya
vs
Hapoel Katamon
Garuda Lions Prediction: Maccabi Netanya
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.03.
- RiskNo edge: the market already prices this — Maccabi Netanya is the favourite, not a value bet.
Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Katamon overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Katamon
| Probability | Maccabi Netanya | Draw | Hapoel Katamon |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.3% | 24.0% | 18.7% |
| Market | 57.4% | 22.9% | 19.7% |
| Final | 57.4% | 23.2% | 19.4% |
| Edge | -0.0% | +0.3% | -0.3% |
Why Maccabi Netanya
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.93 vs 1.03.
Best available price on the pick: 1.67, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update. Expected return at that price: -4.2% per unit staked (our 57.4% × 1.67 − 1).
Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Katamon match preview
Maccabi Netanya hosts Hapoel Katamon with a probability of 57% for a home win, while a draw stands at 24% and an away win at 19%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 2-1, occurring at a rate of 10%. The expected goals for Maccabi Netanya are 1.93, compared to Hapoel Katamon's 1.02, indicating a stronger offensive performance anticipated from the home side.
In terms of recent form, Maccabi Netanya has recorded D-W-D-L-L-D, while Hapoel Katamon's recent matches show L-L-L-W-D-W. In their last three encounters, Maccabi Netanya has achieved 2 wins and 1 draw against Hapoel Katamon, who has yet to secure a victory in this matchup. The model suggests there is a 57% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Maccabi Netanya and Hapoel Katamon expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.95
Maccabi Netanya and Hapoel Katamon attack and defence ratings
Maccabi Netanya
Hapoel Katamon
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Katamon markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maccabi Netanya | 57.4% | 1.74 | -0.0% | 1.67 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.7% | 2.34 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Maccabi Netanya | 57.4% |
| Draw | 23.2% | |
| Hapoel Katamon | 19.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.8% |
| No | 44.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Maccabi Netanya win | 34.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 42.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 2-1 | 9.9% | |
| 2-0 | 9.7% |
Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Katamon stats
Maccabi Netanya and Hapoel Katamon recent form
| Maccabi Netanya |
DWDLLD |
| Hapoel Katamon |
LLLWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Maccabi Netanya and Hapoel Katamon season so far
Maccabi Netanya record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hapoel Katamon record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Katamon head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | Maccabi Netanya | Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al | 1-0 |
| 2026-01-09 | Maccabi Netanya | Hapoel Katamon | Ligat Ha'al | 1-1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Hapoel Katamon | Maccabi Netanya | Ligat Ha'al | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Katamon odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 57.4%, draw 22.9%, away 19.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.62 | 4.10 | 4.66 |
| Betano | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.45 |
| Betfair | 1.55 | 4.00 | 4.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.60 | 4.17 | 4.82 |
| William Hill | 1.53 | 4.00 | 4.50 |