J1 League
·
Full time
·Matchday 3
Kyoto Sanga
vs
Mito Hollyhock
1 – 3 Full time
Kyoto Sanga
44%
Draw
28%
Mito Hollyhock
27%
Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock
| Probability | Kyoto Sanga | Draw | Mito Hollyhock |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.5% | 27.8% | 29.6% |
| Market | 45.0% | 28.6% | 26.4% |
| Final | 44.4% | 28.4% | 27.2% |
| Edge | -2.4% | -0.8% | +3.2% |
Why Kyoto Sanga
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
77%
3+ goals
51%
No goals
8%
Kyoto Sanga and Mito Hollyhock expected goals
Kyoto Sanga
1.50
Mito Hollyhock
1.22
Total expected goals: 2.72
Kyoto Sanga and Mito Hollyhock attack and defence ratings
Kyoto Sanga
Attack
0.85 -15%
Defence
1.36 +36%
Mito Hollyhock
Attack
0.68 -32%
Defence
1.26 +26%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock: result vs prediction
Kyoto Sanga 1 – 3 Mito Hollyhock
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
- Kashiwa Reysol v V-varen Nagasaki — match page
- FC Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba
- Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka
- Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy — team news & stats
- Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse — team news & stats
- Nagoya Grampus v Gamba Osaka — match page
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale
- Yokohama F. Marinos v Vissel Kobe — match page
Before and after this match
Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kyoto Sanga | 44.4% | 2.25 | -2.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.0% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kyoto Sanga | 44.4% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| Mito Hollyhock | 27.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 51.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.9% |
| No | 44.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kyoto Sanga win | 21.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.0% | |
| Loss | 57.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 2-1 | 9.0% | |
| 1-0 | 8.7% |
Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock stats
Kyoto Sanga and Mito Hollyhock recent form
| Kyoto Sanga |
DLWLWL |
| Mito Hollyhock |
DLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kyoto Sanga and Mito Hollyhock going into this match
Kyoto Sanga record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Mito Hollyhock record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 45.0%, draw 28.6%, away 26.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| 1xBet | 2.10 | 3.42 | 3.58 |
| 888Sport | 2.00 | 3.25 | 3.40 |
| Bet365 | 2.10 | 3.10 | 3.75 |
| BetVictor | 2.10 | 3.30 | 3.60 |
| Betano | 2.07 | 3.30 | 3.50 |
| Betfair | 2.05 | 3.25 | 3.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.15 | 3.30 | 3.65 |
| Marathonbet | 2.05 | 3.34 | 3.50 |
| Pinnacle | 2.13 | 3.43 | 3.67 |
| SBO | 2.06 | 2.97 | 3.25 |
| Superbet | 2.10 | 3.20 | 3.55 |
| Unibet | 2.02 | 3.20 | 3.55 |
| William Hill | 2.05 | 3.10 | 3.40 |