Nagoya Grampus
vs
Gamba Osaka
3 – 1 Full time
Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka
| Probability | Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Gamba Osaka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.9% | 21.5% | 53.6% |
| Market | 42.2% | 27.0% | 30.8% |
| Final | 37.9% | 25.6% | 36.5% |
| Edge | -17.2% | -5.5% | +22.8% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nagoya Grampus and Gamba Osaka expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.83
Nagoya Grampus and Gamba Osaka attack and defence ratings
Nagoya Grampus
Gamba Osaka
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka: result vs prediction
Nagoya Grampus 3 – 1 Gamba Osaka
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
- Kashiwa Reysol v V-varen Nagasaki — match page
- FC Tokyo vs JEF United Chiba
- Kashima vs Avispa Fukuoka
- Fagiano Okayama vs Tokyo Verdy — team news & stats
- Kyoto Sanga vs Mito Hollyhock — team news & stats
- Cerezo Osaka vs Shimizu S-pulse — team news & stats
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kawasaki Frontale
- Yokohama F. Marinos v Vissel Kobe — match page
Before and after this match
Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nagoya Grampus | 37.9% | 2.64 | -17.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.5% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.4% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 75.0% | 1.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nagoya Grampus | 37.9% |
| Draw | 25.6% | |
| Gamba Osaka | 36.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 73.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 26.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 71.4% |
| No | 28.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nagoya Grampus win | 11.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.2% | |
| Loss | 75.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 8.8% |
| 1-1 | 8.5% | |
| 2-2 | 6.8% |
Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka stats
Nagoya Grampus and Gamba Osaka recent form
| Nagoya Grampus |
LLLDLL |
| Gamba Osaka |
DWWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nagoya Grampus and Gamba Osaka going into this match
Nagoya Grampus record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Gamba Osaka record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Nagoya Grampus | Gamba Osaka | J1 League | 2-1 |
| 2026-02-15 | Gamba Osaka | Nagoya Grampus | J1 League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 42.2%, draw 27.0%, away 30.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.30 | 3.45 | 2.90 |
| 1xBet | 2.24 | 3.56 | 3.12 |
| Bet365 | 2.20 | 3.50 | 3.10 |
| BetVictor | 2.20 | 3.60 | 3.10 |
| Betano | 2.22 | 3.40 | 3.05 |
| Betfair | 2.15 | 3.60 | 3.00 |
| Dafabet | 2.40 | 3.55 | 2.95 |
| Marathonbet | 2.19 | 3.48 | 3.05 |
| Pinnacle | 2.23 | 3.72 | 3.16 |
| SBO | 2.26 | 3.11 | 2.74 |
| Superbet | 2.22 | 3.45 | 3.05 |
| Unibet | 2.28 | 3.30 | 2.90 |
| William Hill | 2.30 | 3.40 | 2.88 |