Gamba Osaka
vs
Biwako Shiga
2 – 0 Full time
Gamba Osaka vs Biwako Shiga overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Gamba Osaka vs Biwako Shiga
| Probability | Gamba Osaka | Draw | Biwako Shiga |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.0% | 21.4% | 17.5% |
| Market | 88.9% | 8.2% | 2.9% |
| Final | 81.9% | 11.5% | 6.6% |
| Edge | -27.9% | +13.2% | +14.6% |
Why Gamba Osaka
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.24 vs 1.11.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Gamba Osaka and Biwako Shiga expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.35
Gamba Osaka and Biwako Shiga attack and defence ratings
Gamba Osaka
Biwako Shiga
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Gamba Osaka vs Biwako Shiga: result vs prediction
Gamba Osaka 2 – 0 Biwako Shiga
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 2nd Round fixtures
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Okinawa SV — match page
- Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori — team news & stats
- Cerezo Osaka vs FC Gifu
- Tokushima Vortis v FC Tokushima — match page
- Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka — team news & stats
- Tokyo Verdy vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
- Yokohama FC v Criacao Shinjuku — match page
- Consadole Sapporo vs Ventforet Kofu — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Gamba Osaka vs Biwako Shiga markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gamba Osaka | 81.9% | 1.22 | -27.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.4% | 1.07 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Gamba Osaka win | 40.2% | 2.49 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Gamba Osaka | 81.9% |
| Draw | 11.5% | |
| Biwako Shiga | 6.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.2% |
| No | 38.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 93.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 88.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 18.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Gamba Osaka win | 40.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.8% | |
| Loss | 38.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.8% |
| 1-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 8.6% |
Gamba Osaka vs Biwako Shiga stats
Gamba Osaka and Biwako Shiga recent form
| Gamba Osaka |
LDWWDW |
| Biwako Shiga |
W |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Gamba Osaka vs Biwako Shiga head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Gamba Osaka vs Biwako Shiga odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 88.9%, draw 8.2%, away 2.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.04 | 10.00 | 38.00 |
| 1xBet | 1.04 | 11.20 | 32.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.05 | 13.00 | 34.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.05 | 10.50 | 23.00 |
| Betano | 1.06 | 8.75 | 21.00 |
| Betfair | 1.03 | 14.00 | 41.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.06 | 13.00 | 35.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.04 | 11.25 | 32.00 |
| Superbet | 1.04 | 12.00 | 25.00 |
| Unibet | 1.04 | 12.50 | 21.00 |
| William Hill | 1.05 | 11.00 | 56.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .