Emperor Cup · Full time ·2nd Round

Tokushima Vortis vs FC Tokushima

3 – 0 Full time

Pocarisweat Stadium, Naruto

Tokushima Vortis 76%
Draw 15%
FC Tokushima 9%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Tokushima Vortis vs FC Tokushima overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Tokushima Vortis vs FC Tokushima

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityTokushima VortisDrawFC Tokushima
Model53.1%26.4%20.6%
Market83.5%11.6%4.8%
Final75.9%15.3%8.8%
Edge-30.5%+14.8%+15.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Tokushima Vortis

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 0.97.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Tokushima Vort ↓ / FC Tokushima → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 11% 13% 2 10% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Tokushima Vortis and FC Tokushima expected goals

Tokushima Vortis 1.69
FC Tokushima 0.97

Total expected goals: 2.67

Tokushima Vortis and FC Tokushima attack and defence ratings

Tokushima Vortis

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 0.98 -2%

FC Tokushima

Attack 0.89 -11%
Defence 0.88 -12%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Tokushima Vortis vs FC Tokushima: result vs prediction

Tokushima Vortis 3 – 0 FC Tokushima

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other 2nd Round fixtures

Emperor Cup

Before and after this match

Tokushima Vortis vs FC Tokushima markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Tokushima Vortis 75.9% 1.32 -30.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.2% 1.99 — —
Both teams to score Yes 51.9% 1.93 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 91.2% 1.10 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.9% 2.13 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Tokushima Vortis75.9%
Draw15.3%
FC Tokushima8.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.8%
Under 2.550.2%
Both teams to scoreYes51.9%
No48.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)91.2%
12 (either side)84.7%
X2 (draw or away)24.1%
Handicap -1Tokushima Vortis win29.7%
Push (exactly one goal)23.4%
Loss46.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.6%
1-010.6%
2-09.9%

Tokushima Vortis vs FC Tokushima stats

Tokushima Vortis and FC Tokushima recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Tokushima Vortis vs FC Tokushima head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Tokushima Vortis wins 0Draws 0FC Tokushima wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2016-08-27Tokushima VortisFC TokushimaEmperor Cup6-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Tokushima Vortis vs FC Tokushima odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 83.5%, draw 11.6%, away 4.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 1.14 6.60 15.50
1xBet 1.10 7.90 24.00
Bet365 1.10 8.00 21.00
BetVictor 1.08 8.50 19.00
Betano 1.12 7.00 13.50
Betfair 1.07 8.50 21.00
Dafabet 1.12 9.40 21.00
Marathonbet 1.10 7.90 24.00
Pinnacle 1.10 7.77 12.61
Superbet 1.09 8.30 16.00
Unibet 1.13 7.50 10.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.10 ▼ -0.01
X 7.90 ▲ +0.10
2 19.00 ▲ +3.50

2 snapshots recorded, from .