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Emperor Cup · Full time ·Round of 32

Gamba Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis

5 – 0 Full time

19′T. Usami
40′S. TakadaT. Nishisaka
53′T. Sugimoto
56′Y. TakadaN. Yamada
57′R. Yamashita
58′R. Yamashita
64′D. Hummet
69′R. YamashitaN. Nakatsumi
69′S. KurataR. Meshino
76′KaiqueThonny Anderson
76′T. ShigehiroS. Kodama
76′J. MiyazakiT. Inami
84′T. UsamiT. Tono
84′S. NakanoR. Hatsuse
86′G. Ikegaya
87′T. SuzukiY. Yoshihara
89′R. Meshino

Panasonic Stadium Suita, Suita

Gamba Osaka 53%
Draw 26%
Tokushima Vortis 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Gamba Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Gamba Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityGamba OsakaDrawTokushima Vortis
Model46.1%28.9%24.9%
Market55.8%24.4%19.8%
Final53.4%25.5%21.0%
Edge-9.7%+4.5%+5.2%

Confidence: Low

Why Gamba Osaka

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 1.01.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Gamba Osaka ↓ / Tokushima Vort → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 7% 1 11% 14% 2 9% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Gamba Osaka and Tokushima Vortis expected goals

Gamba Osaka 1.45
Tokushima Vortis 1.01

Total expected goals: 2.46

Gamba Osaka and Tokushima Vortis attack and defence ratings

Gamba Osaka

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Tokushima Vortis

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 0.84 -16%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Gamba Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis: result vs prediction

Gamba Osaka 5 – 0 Tokushima Vortis

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 32 fixtures

Emperor Cup

Before and after this match

Gamba Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Gamba Osaka 53.4% 1.87 -9.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.4% 1.81 — —
Both teams to score No 50.1% 2.00 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.0% 1.27 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 53.9% 1.86 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Gamba Osaka53.4%
Draw25.5%
Tokushima Vortis21.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.6%
Under 2.555.4%
Both teams to scoreYes49.9%
No50.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.0%
12 (either side)74.5%
X2 (draw or away)46.6%
Handicap -1Gamba Osaka win23.4%
Push (exactly one goal)22.7%
Loss53.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.7%
1-011.2%
0-09.8%

Gamba Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis stats

Gamba Osaka and Tokushima Vortis recent form

newest first
Gamba Osaka LLLDDW
Tokushima Vortis WLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Gamba Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

6Gamba Osaka wins 1Draws 1Tokushima Vortis wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2021-08-09Tokushima VortisGamba OsakaJ1 League2-1
2021-05-27Gamba OsakaTokushima VortisJ1 League2-1
2020-12-27Gamba OsakaTokushima VortisEmperor Cup2-0
2014-12-06Tokushima VortisGamba OsakaJ1 League0-0
2014-08-20Gamba OsakaTokushima VortisEmperor Cup1-0
2014-05-06Gamba OsakaTokushima VortisJ1 League3-0
2013-10-27Tokushima VortisGamba OsakaJ2 League1-5
2013-06-29Gamba OsakaTokushima VortisJ2 League2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Gamba Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.8%, draw 24.4%, away 19.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.65 3.82 4.74
Bet365 1.62 3.75 4.40
BetVictor 1.65 3.70 4.60
Betano 1.65 3.70 4.30
Betfair 1.60 3.80 4.75
Marathonbet 1.63 3.82 4.75
Pinnacle 1.67 3.81 4.73
William Hill 1.65 3.40 4.40

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.