Emperor Cup · Full time ·Round of 32

Kashiwa Reysol vs Imabari

4 – 0 Full time

8′H. Abe
20′S. Baba
37′M. Hosoya
45′T. Kubo
46′H. UmakoshiWesley Tanque
46′Y. LeeGabriel Gomes
46′H. AbeJ. Kato
46′M. WataiH. Nakama
53′M. Hosoya
54′T. KuboK. Chonan
65′K. KuboA. Palocevic
66′R. HarakawaS. Toshima
66′H. YamauchiM. Mitsuta
70′K. FuruyamaE. Junio
80′M. HosoyaY. Segawa
85′S. Toshima

Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa

Kashiwa Reysol 77%
Draw 15%
Imabari 8%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Kashiwa Reysol vs Imabari overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kashiwa Reysol vs Imabari

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKashiwa ReysolDrawImabari
Model69.4%17.9%12.7%
Market79.2%14.0%6.7%
Final76.8%15.0%8.2%
Edge-9.8%+3.8%+6.0%

Confidence: Low

Why Kashiwa Reysol

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.59 vs 1.07.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kashiwa Reysol ↓ / Imabari → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 8% 2 9% 9% 5% 3 7% 8% 4+ 9% 10% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 89%
3+ goals 71%
No goals 3%

Kashiwa Reysol and Imabari expected goals

Kashiwa Reysol 2.59
Imabari 1.07

Total expected goals: 3.66

Kashiwa Reysol and Imabari attack and defence ratings

Kashiwa Reysol

Attack 1.21 +21%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Imabari

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.97 -3%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kashiwa Reysol vs Imabari: result vs prediction

Kashiwa Reysol 4 – 0 Imabari

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 32 fixtures

Emperor Cup

Before and after this match

Kashiwa Reysol vs Imabari markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kashiwa Reysol 76.8% 1.30 -9.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 70.8% 1.41 — —
Both teams to score Yes 61.4% 1.63 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 91.8% 1.09 — —
Handicap -1 Kashiwa Reysol win 48.8% 2.05 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kashiwa Reysol76.8%
Draw15.0%
Imabari8.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.570.8%
Under 2.529.2%
Both teams to scoreYes61.4%
No38.6%
Double chance1X (home or draw)91.8%
12 (either side)85.0%
X2 (draw or away)23.2%
Handicap -1Kashiwa Reysol win48.8%
Push (exactly one goal)20.6%
Loss30.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.2%
2-08.6%
3-18.0%

Kashiwa Reysol vs Imabari stats

Kashiwa Reysol and Imabari recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kashiwa Reysol vs Imabari head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Kashiwa Reysol vs Imabari odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 79.2%, draw 14.0%, away 6.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.13 7.30 15.00
Bet365 1.17 6.00 11.00
Betano 1.17 5.80 11.75
Betfair 1.11 7.00 14.00
Marathonbet 1.13 7.30 15.25
William Hill 1.17 6.00 13.00

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.