Urawa
vs
Omiya Ardija
3 – 2 Full time
| 22′ | E. KatayamaK. Hayashi | ||
| 24′ | K. Kudo | ||
| 46′ | H. KatoR. Motegi | ||
| 48′ | Kaua Diniz | ||
| 59′ | S. Kidera | ||
| 60′ | S. Sasa | ||
| 61′ | Kaua DinizG. Kato | ||
| 61′ | GabrielR. Nishio | ||
| 63′ | R. Hidano | ||
| 64′ | Y. Kobayashi | ||
| 71′ | H. KomoriMatheus Savio | ||
| 71′ | S. SasaH. Ueki | ||
| 78′ | J. McGheeT. Izumi | ||
| 78′ | Y. ToyokawaCaprini | ||
| 79′ | A. Onaiwu | ||
| 80′ | R. HidanoK. Nemoto | ||
| 80′ | S. GustafsonH. Minamino | ||
| 82′ | T. Izumi | ||
| 86′ | R. Motegi |
Urawa vs Omiya Ardija overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Urawa vs Omiya Ardija
| Probability | Urawa | Draw | Omiya Ardija |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.6% | 23.8% | 16.6% |
| Market | 54.7% | 24.8% | 20.5% |
| Final | 55.9% | 24.5% | 19.6% |
| Edge | +4.9% | -0.9% | -4.0% |
Why Urawa
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.92 vs 0.93.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Urawa below the model: +4.9 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Urawa and Omiya Ardija expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.85
Urawa and Omiya Ardija attack and defence ratings
Urawa
Omiya Ardija
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Urawa vs Omiya Ardija: result vs prediction
Urawa 3 – 2 Omiya Ardija
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Imabari
- Vissel Kobe v Sagan Tosu — match page
- Kashima vs Ventforet Kofu — team news & stats
- Gamba Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis — team news & stats
- Kyoto Sanga vs Fujieda MYFC — team news & stats
- Machida Zelvia vs Tochigi City
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Iwaki — match page
- Cerezo Osaka vs Kagoshima United
Before and after this match
Urawa vs Omiya Ardija markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Urawa | 55.9% | 1.79 | +4.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.4% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.4% | 2.47 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Urawa | 55.9% |
| Draw | 24.5% | |
| Omiya Ardija | 19.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 54.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 45.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.6% |
| No | 47.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Urawa win | 36.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.4% | |
| Loss | 40.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.4% |
| 2-0 | 10.7% | |
| 1-0 | 10.1% |
Urawa vs Omiya Ardija stats
Urawa and Omiya Ardija recent form
| Urawa |
WLWWWW |
| Omiya Ardija |
WL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Urawa vs Omiya Ardija head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-01 | Urawa | Omiya Ardija | Friendlies Clubs | 2-2 |
| 2017-08-05 | Urawa | Omiya Ardija | J1 League | 2-2 |
| 2017-04-30 | Omiya Ardija | Urawa | J1 League | 1-0 |
| 2016-07-17 | Urawa | Omiya Ardija | J1 League | 2-2 |
| 2016-05-08 | Omiya Ardija | Urawa | J1 League | 0-1 |
| 2014-08-30 | Urawa | Omiya Ardija | J1 League | 4-0 |
| 2014-05-10 | Omiya Ardija | Urawa | J1 League | 0-2 |
| 2014-04-02 | Urawa | Omiya Ardija | J-League Cup | 2-1 |
| 2013-10-05 | Urawa | Omiya Ardija | J1 League | 4-0 |
| 2013-04-20 | Omiya Ardija | Urawa | J1 League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Urawa vs Omiya Ardija odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.7%, draw 24.8%, away 20.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.72 | 3.68 | 4.44 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.70 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.65 | 3.75 | 4.50 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 3.75 | 4.33 |
| Marathonbet | 1.70 | 3.68 | 4.45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.69 | 3.93 | 4.77 |
| SBO | 1.63 | 3.45 | 4.09 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.40 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .