Garuda Lions
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Emperor Cup · Full time ·Round of 32

Kyoto Sanga vs Fujieda MYFC

1 – 0 Full time

14′Thiago
34′S. Matsuki
46′Y. KikuiR. Kawamoto
46′U. UehataY. Nagao
46′ThiagoH. Morooka
48′S. Suzuki
60′H. TawiahY. Suzuki
60′R. KatoEverton Maceio
68′W. KanemotoH. Manabe
68′M. KitaharaY. Kondo
73′T. MatsudaH. Arai
73′Souza AlexS. Nagasawa
73′S. MatsukiK. Seriu
88′Everton Maceio
89′Everton Maceio

Sanga Stadium by Kyocera, Kameoka

Kyoto Sanga 54%
Draw 24%
Fujieda MYFC 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Kyoto Sanga vs Fujieda MYFC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kyoto Sanga vs Fujieda MYFC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKyoto SangaDrawFujieda MYFC
Model52.2%21.8%26.0%
Market55.2%24.4%20.3%
Final54.5%23.8%21.7%
Edge-3.1%-2.6%+5.7%

Confidence: Low

Why Kyoto Sanga

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.23 vs 1.56.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kyoto Sanga ↓ / Fujieda MYFC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 6% 2 6% 9% 7% 3 7% 5% 4+ 6% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 97%
2+ goals 90%
3+ goals 73%
No goals 3%

Kyoto Sanga and Fujieda MYFC expected goals

Kyoto Sanga 2.23
Fujieda MYFC 1.56

Total expected goals: 3.79

Kyoto Sanga and Fujieda MYFC attack and defence ratings

Kyoto Sanga

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Fujieda MYFC

Attack 1.33 +33%
Defence 1.25 +25%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kyoto Sanga vs Fujieda MYFC: result vs prediction

Kyoto Sanga 1 – 0 Fujieda MYFC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 32 fixtures

Emperor Cup

Before and after this match

Kyoto Sanga vs Fujieda MYFC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kyoto Sanga 54.5% 1.84 -3.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.0% 1.37 — —
Both teams to score Yes 71.3% 1.40 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.3% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.8% 2.09 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kyoto Sanga54.5%
Draw23.8%
Fujieda MYFC21.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.0%
Under 2.527.0%
Both teams to scoreYes71.3%
No28.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.3%
12 (either side)76.2%
X2 (draw or away)45.5%
Handicap -1Kyoto Sanga win32.3%
Push (exactly one goal)19.9%
Loss47.8%
Correct score (top 3)2-18.8%
1-18.6%
2-26.8%

Kyoto Sanga vs Fujieda MYFC stats

Kyoto Sanga and Fujieda MYFC recent form

newest first
Kyoto Sanga WLLDWW
Fujieda MYFC WLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kyoto Sanga vs Fujieda MYFC head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Kyoto Sanga vs Fujieda MYFC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 55.2%, draw 24.4%, away 20.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.68 3.78 4.54
Bet365 1.62 3.70 4.50
BetVictor 1.67 3.70 4.50
Betano 1.65 3.65 4.40
Betfair 1.60 3.80 4.75
Marathonbet 1.66 3.78 4.55
Pinnacle 1.72 4.08 4.08
William Hill 1.65 3.60 4.00

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.