Sanfrecce Hiroshima
vs
Iwaki
4 – 0 Full time
| 9′ | S. Ayukawa | ||
| 22′ | A. Suzuki | ||
| 37′ | H. Kawabe | ||
| 42′ | Y. Nakajima | ||
| 44′ | A. Yamanaka | ||
| 46′ | Y. NakajimaT. Matsumoto | ||
| 48′ | A. Suzuki | ||
| 54′ | M. ArakiR. Nishitani | ||
| 62′ | N. MaedaS. Kobayashi | ||
| 62′ | A. SuzukiS. Haller | ||
| 64′ | I. KonnoY. Takahashi | ||
| 64′ | A. YamanakaY. Michiwaki | ||
| 64′ | S. JeonK. Fujii | ||
| 66′ | S. AyukawaR. Noguchi | ||
| 68′ | S. Kobayashi | ||
| 73′ | K. Fujii | ||
| 77′ | H. KawabeH. Ota | ||
| 81′ | S. NakajimaN. Kumata |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Iwaki overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Iwaki
| Probability | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Draw | Iwaki |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 81.1% | 13.5% | 5.4% |
| Market | 74.4% | 16.4% | 9.2% |
| Final | 76.1% | 15.7% | 8.2% |
| Edge | +6.7% | -2.9% | -3.8% |
Why Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.76 vs 0.63.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
- The market prices Sanfrecce Hiroshima below the model: +6.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Iwaki expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.39
Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Iwaki attack and defence ratings
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Iwaki
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Iwaki: result vs prediction
Sanfrecce Hiroshima 4 – 0 Iwaki
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Iwaki markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 76.1% | 1.31 | +6.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.8% | 1.52 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.8% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima win | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 76.1% |
| Draw | 15.7% | |
| Iwaki | 8.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 65.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 34.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.4% |
| No | 55.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 84.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 23.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima win | 61.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.6% | |
| Loss | 19.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.8% |
| 3-0 | 11.8% | |
| 1-0 | 8.7% |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Iwaki stats
Sanfrecce Hiroshima and Iwaki recent form
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
WWLWDW |
| Iwaki |
WL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Iwaki head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-07-10 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Iwaki | Emperor Cup | 4-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Iwaki odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 74.4%, draw 16.4%, away 9.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.25 | 5.55 | 10.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.22 | 5.50 | 8.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.20 | 6.00 | 10.50 |
| Betfair | 1.18 | 5.50 | 10.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.24 | 5.55 | 10.00 |
| Pinnacle | 1.25 | 6.14 | 9.75 |
| SBO | 1.21 | 5.32 | 8.10 |
| William Hill | 1.22 | 5.00 | 9.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .