Cerezo Osaka
vs
Kagoshima United
2 – 0 Full time
| 25′ | L. Fernandes | ||
| 56′ | K. Kawashima | ||
| 68′ | T. ToyamaS. Take | ||
| 68′ | A. TakahashiThales | ||
| 68′ | L. FernandesY. Yokoyama | ||
| 68′ | P. SabbagY. Komi | ||
| 77′ | T. Nakamura | ||
| 81′ | R. Sakata | ||
| 81′ | K. NakayamaW. Tanaka | ||
| 81′ | Y. NagamineA. Satsukawa | ||
| 84′ | K. OkazawaS. Tanaka | ||
| 84′ | S. UejoK. Nagasoe |
Cerezo Osaka vs Kagoshima United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Cerezo Osaka vs Kagoshima United
| Probability | Cerezo Osaka | Draw | Kagoshima United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.6% | 27.2% | 28.2% |
| Market | 64.7% | 20.7% | 14.5% |
| Final | 59.7% | 22.4% | 17.9% |
| Edge | -20.2% | +6.5% | +13.7% |
Why Cerezo Osaka
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 1.21.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Cerezo Osaka and Kagoshima United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.78
Cerezo Osaka and Kagoshima United attack and defence ratings
Cerezo Osaka
Kagoshima United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Cerezo Osaka vs Kagoshima United: result vs prediction
Cerezo Osaka 2 – 0 Kagoshima United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Imabari
- Vissel Kobe v Sagan Tosu — match page
- Kashima vs Ventforet Kofu — team news & stats
- Gamba Osaka vs Tokushima Vortis — team news & stats
- Kyoto Sanga vs Fujieda MYFC — team news & stats
- Machida Zelvia vs Tochigi City
- Urawa vs Omiya Ardija
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Iwaki — match page
Before and after this match
Cerezo Osaka vs Kagoshima United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cerezo Osaka | 59.7% | 1.67 | -20.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.7% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.1% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Cerezo Osaka | 59.7% |
| Draw | 22.4% | |
| Kagoshima United | 17.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.8% |
| No | 43.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Cerezo Osaka win | 23.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 55.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-0 | 8.5% |
Cerezo Osaka vs Kagoshima United stats
Cerezo Osaka and Kagoshima United recent form
| Cerezo Osaka |
DLDWLW |
| Kagoshima United |
WWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Cerezo Osaka vs Kagoshima United head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Cerezo Osaka vs Kagoshima United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 64.7%, draw 20.7%, away 14.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.44 | 4.40 | 6.33 |
| Bet365 | 1.42 | 4.50 | 5.25 |
| BetVictor | 1.40 | 4.40 | 6.50 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.33 | 6.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.43 | 4.40 | 6.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.44 | 4.68 | 6.69 |
| SBO | 1.40 | 3.92 | 5.70 |
| William Hill | 1.40 | 4.00 | 5.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .