Albirex Niigata
vs
Kagoshima United
0 – 4 Full time
Albirex Niigata vs Kagoshima United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Albirex Niigata vs Kagoshima United
| Probability | Albirex Niigata | Draw | Kagoshima United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.7% | 26.6% | 21.7% |
| Market | 52.9% | 26.0% | 21.1% |
| Final | 52.6% | 26.1% | 21.3% |
| Edge | -1.1% | +0.6% | +0.5% |
Why Albirex Niigata
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.00.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Albirex Niigata and Kagoshima United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.69
Albirex Niigata and Kagoshima United attack and defence ratings
Albirex Niigata
Kagoshima United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Albirex Niigata vs Kagoshima United: result vs prediction
Albirex Niigata 0 – 4 Kagoshima United
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 2nd Round fixtures
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Okinawa SV — match page
- Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori — team news & stats
- Cerezo Osaka vs FC Gifu
- Tokushima Vortis v FC Tokushima — match page
- Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka — team news & stats
- Tokyo Verdy vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
- Yokohama FC v Criacao Shinjuku — match page
- Consadole Sapporo vs Ventforet Kofu — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Albirex Niigata vs Kagoshima United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Albirex Niigata | 52.6% | 1.90 | -1.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.8% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.7% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.3% | 2.11 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Albirex Niigata | 52.6% |
| Draw | 26.1% | |
| Kagoshima United | 21.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.8% |
| No | 47.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Albirex Niigata win | 29.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 47.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 1-0 | 10.3% | |
| 2-1 | 9.7% |
Albirex Niigata vs Kagoshima United stats
Albirex Niigata and Kagoshima United recent form
| Albirex Niigata |
LW |
| Kagoshima United |
WLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.
Albirex Niigata vs Kagoshima United head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 | Albirex Niigata | Kagoshima United | J2/J3 League | 0-1 |
| 2019-10-05 | Albirex Niigata | Kagoshima United | J2 League | 6-0 |
| 2019-06-29 | Kagoshima United | Albirex Niigata | J2 League | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Albirex Niigata vs Kagoshima United odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.9%, draw 26.0%, away 21.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.67 | 3.85 | 4.30 |
| 1xBet | 1.71 | 3.94 | 4.28 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.50 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.73 | 3.50 | 4.40 |
| Betano | 1.72 | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 3.60 | 4.40 |
| Dafabet | 1.78 | 3.70 | 4.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.69 | 3.94 | 4.30 |
| Pinnacle | 1.79 | 3.92 | 3.53 |
| SBO | 1.76 | 3.16 | 3.81 |
| Superbet | 1.75 | 3.50 | 4.30 |
| Unibet | 1.72 | 3.40 | 4.10 |
| William Hill | 1.62 | 3.50 | 4.40 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .