Nagoya Grampus
vs
Gainare Tottori
1 – 3 Full time
Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori
| Probability | Nagoya Grampus | Draw | Gainare Tottori |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.9% | 20.3% | 16.8% |
| Market | 76.4% | 15.3% | 8.3% |
| Final | 73.0% | 16.5% | 10.5% |
| Edge | -13.5% | +5.0% | +8.5% |
Why Nagoya Grampus
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.36 vs 1.18.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nagoya Grampus and Gainare Tottori expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.54
Nagoya Grampus and Gainare Tottori attack and defence ratings
Nagoya Grampus
Gainare Tottori
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori: result vs prediction
Nagoya Grampus 1 – 3 Gainare Tottori
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 2nd Round fixtures
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Okinawa SV — match page
- Cerezo Osaka vs FC Gifu
- Tokushima Vortis v FC Tokushima — match page
- Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka — team news & stats
- Tokyo Verdy vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
- Yokohama FC v Criacao Shinjuku — match page
- Consadole Sapporo vs Ventforet Kofu — team news & stats
- Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Before and after this match
Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nagoya Grampus | 73.0% | 1.37 | -13.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.6% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.5% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Nagoya Grampus win | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nagoya Grampus | 73.0% |
| Draw | 16.5% | |
| Gainare Tottori | 10.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.4% |
| No | 36.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 27.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nagoya Grampus win | 41.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 37.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.5% |
| 1-1 | 8.9% | |
| 2-0 | 8.1% |
Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori stats
Nagoya Grampus and Gainare Tottori recent form
| Nagoya Grampus |
WLLLDL |
| Gainare Tottori |
DL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 76.4%, draw 15.3%, away 8.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.22 | 5.75 | 10.50 |
| 1xBet | 1.21 | 6.05 | 12.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.18 | 5.75 | 11.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.18 | 6.00 | 12.00 |
| Betano | 1.22 | 5.40 | 9.75 |
| Betfair | 1.15 | 6.00 | 13.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.22 | 6.80 | 12.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.20 | 6.05 | 12.75 |
| Pinnacle | 1.20 | 6.16 | 10.22 |
| SBO | 1.18 | 5.51 | 8.87 |
| Superbet | 1.19 | 6.20 | 9.90 |
| Unibet | 1.21 | 5.80 | 9.00 |
| William Hill | 1.22 | 5.00 | 12.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .