Jubilo Iwata
vs
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0 – 1 Full time
Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki
| Probability | Jubilo Iwata | Draw | Tegevajaro Miyazaki |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.9% | 23.0% | 20.1% |
| Market | 36.3% | 29.8% | 33.9% |
| Final | 41.5% | 28.1% | 30.4% |
| Edge | +20.6% | -6.8% | -13.8% |
Why Jubilo Iwata
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.09 vs 1.15.
- The market prices Jubilo Iwata below the model: +20.6 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Jubilo Iwata and Tegevajaro Miyazaki expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.25
Jubilo Iwata and Tegevajaro Miyazaki attack and defence ratings
Jubilo Iwata
Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki: result vs prediction
Jubilo Iwata 0 – 1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 2nd Round fixtures
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima v Okinawa SV — match page
- Nagoya Grampus vs Gainare Tottori — team news & stats
- Cerezo Osaka vs FC Gifu
- Tokushima Vortis v FC Tokushima — match page
- Machida Zelvia vs Grulla Morioka — team news & stats
- Tokyo Verdy vs Thespakusatsu Gunma
- Yokohama FC v Criacao Shinjuku — match page
- Consadole Sapporo vs Ventforet Kofu — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Jubilo Iwata | 41.5% | 2.41 | +20.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.9% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 42.0% | 2.38 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Jubilo Iwata | 41.5% |
| Draw | 28.1% | |
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki | 30.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.9% |
| No | 39.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 69.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Jubilo Iwata win | 36.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 42.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.4% |
Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki stats
Jubilo Iwata and Tegevajaro Miyazaki recent form
| Jubilo Iwata |
L |
| Tegevajaro Miyazaki |
no matches on record |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 1 completed matches.
Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-12 | Jubilo Iwata | Tegevajaro Miyazaki | Emperor Cup | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Jubilo Iwata vs Tegevajaro Miyazaki odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 36.3%, draw 29.8%, away 33.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 2.18 | 3.20 | 3.15 |
| 1xBet | 2.54 | 3.20 | 2.68 |
| Bet365 | 2.50 | 2.90 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.50 | 3.10 | 2.70 |
| Betano | 2.47 | 3.05 | 2.67 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| Dafabet | 2.55 | 3.20 | 2.90 |
| Marathonbet | 2.55 | 3.18 | 2.68 |
| Pinnacle | 2.51 | 3.19 | 2.63 |
| SBO | 2.37 | 2.91 | 2.58 |
| Superbet | 2.50 | 3.05 | 2.77 |
| Unibet | 2.50 | 2.85 | 2.70 |
| William Hill | 2.50 | 2.90 | 2.60 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .