Emperor Cup · Full time ·2nd Round

Yokohama FC vs Criacao Shinjuku

3 – 1 Full time

MNHK Spring Mitsuzawa Football Stadium, Yokohama

Yokohama FC 61%
Draw 21%
Criacao Shinjuku 18%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Yokohama FC vs Criacao Shinjuku overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Yokohama FC vs Criacao Shinjuku

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityYokohama FCDrawCriacao Shinjuku
Model61.4%20.5%18.1%
Market———
Final61.4%20.5%18.1%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Yokohama FC

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.36 vs 1.24.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Yokohama FC ↓ / Criacao Shinju → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 6% 9% 5% 2 8% 9% 6% 3 6% 7% 4+ 6% 8% 5%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 70%
No goals 4%

Yokohama FC and Criacao Shinjuku expected goals

Yokohama FC 2.36
Criacao Shinjuku 1.24

Total expected goals: 3.60

Yokohama FC and Criacao Shinjuku attack and defence ratings

Yokohama FC

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Criacao Shinjuku

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Yokohama FC vs Criacao Shinjuku: result vs prediction

Yokohama FC 3 – 1 Criacao Shinjuku

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other 2nd Round fixtures

Emperor Cup

Before and after this match

Yokohama FC vs Criacao Shinjuku markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Yokohama FC 61.4% 1.63 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 69.7% 1.43 — —
Both teams to score Yes 65.2% 1.53 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 81.9% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Yokohama FC win 40.4% 2.48 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Yokohama FC61.4%
Draw20.5%
Criacao Shinjuku18.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.569.7%
Under 2.530.3%
Both teams to scoreYes65.2%
No34.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)81.9%
12 (either side)79.5%
X2 (draw or away)38.6%
Handicap -1Yokohama FC win40.4%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss38.6%
Correct score (top 3)2-19.4%
1-18.8%
2-07.6%

Yokohama FC vs Criacao Shinjuku stats

Yokohama FC and Criacao Shinjuku recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 2 completed matches.

Yokohama FC vs Criacao Shinjuku head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Yokohama FC vs Criacao Shinjuku odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.