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Emperor Cup · Full time ·Round of 32

Avispa Fukuoka vs Yokohama FC

0 – 1 Full time

4′T. Sota
22′N. Komazawa
39′O. Romeu
52′O. RomeuH. Akino
59′S. NagoWerik Popo
59′T. OkaM. Tashiro
69′AdailtonJoao Paulo
69′K. KumakuraK. Hosoi
69′T. SotaK. Shimbo
79′N. KomazawaK. Saito
79′A. YokoyamaT. Shimamura
80′S. SatoK. Okuno
80′K. YamawakiS. Takemoto

Best Denki Stadium, Fukuoka

Avispa Fukuoka 43%
Draw 30%
Yokohama FC 28%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Avispa Fukuoka vs Yokohama FC overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Avispa Fukuoka vs Yokohama FC

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAvispa FukuokaDrawYokohama FC
Model45.7%27.8%26.5%
Market41.6%30.3%28.1%
Final42.6%29.7%27.7%
Edge+4.1%-2.5%-1.6%

Confidence: Low

Why Avispa Fukuoka

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 1.12.
  • The market prices Avispa Fukuoka below the model: +4.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Avispa Fukuoka ↓ / Yokohama FC → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 10% 13% 7% 2 8% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 50%
No goals 8%

Avispa Fukuoka and Yokohama FC expected goals

Avispa Fukuoka 1.54
Yokohama FC 1.12

Total expected goals: 2.66

Avispa Fukuoka and Yokohama FC attack and defence ratings

Avispa Fukuoka

Attack 0.69 -31%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Yokohama FC

Attack 1.24 +24%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Avispa Fukuoka vs Yokohama FC: result vs prediction

Avispa Fukuoka 0 – 1 Yokohama FC

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 32 fixtures

Emperor Cup

Before and after this match

Avispa Fukuoka vs Yokohama FC markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Avispa Fukuoka 42.6% 2.35 +4.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.3% 1.99 — —
Both teams to score Yes 54.2% 1.85 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 72.3% 1.38 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 54.4% 1.84 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Avispa Fukuoka42.6%
Draw29.7%
Yokohama FC27.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.7%
Under 2.550.3%
Both teams to scoreYes54.2%
No45.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)72.3%
12 (either side)70.3%
X2 (draw or away)57.4%
Handicap -1Avispa Fukuoka win23.7%
Push (exactly one goal)21.9%
Loss54.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.3%
1-09.5%
2-19.3%

Avispa Fukuoka vs Yokohama FC stats

Avispa Fukuoka and Yokohama FC recent form

newest first
Avispa Fukuoka LLDLLD
Yokohama FC WDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Avispa Fukuoka vs Yokohama FC head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

2Avispa Fukuoka wins 6Draws 2Yokohama FC wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-10-04Avispa FukuokaYokohama FCJ1 League1-0
2025-05-10Yokohama FCAvispa FukuokaJ1 League1-0
2023-08-12Avispa FukuokaYokohama FCJ1 League2-0
2023-04-01Yokohama FCAvispa FukuokaJ1 League1-1
2021-11-07Avispa FukuokaYokohama FCJ1 League1-1
2021-05-26Yokohama FCAvispa FukuokaJ1 League1-1
2019-08-04Avispa FukuokaYokohama FCJ2 League0-2
2019-04-07Yokohama FCAvispa FukuokaJ2 League1-1
2018-09-12Avispa FukuokaYokohama FCJ2 League0-0
2018-04-08Yokohama FCAvispa FukuokaJ2 League2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Avispa Fukuoka vs Yokohama FC odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.6%, draw 30.3%, away 28.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.21 3.04 3.35
Bet365 2.20 3.10 3.00
BetVictor 2.25 3.00 3.20
Betfair 2.10 3.00 3.30
Marathonbet 2.19 3.04 3.32
Pinnacle 2.31 3.06 3.45
SBO 2.08 2.86 3.14
William Hill 2.20 2.75 3.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.20 ▲ +0.01
X 3.02 ▲ +0.02
2 3.25 ▼ -0.05

2 snapshots recorded, from .