Kashima
vs
Ventforet Kofu
3 – 1 Full time
| 34′ | Leo Ceara | ||
| 46′ | T. WadaI. Kobayashi | ||
| 46′ | H. MizunoM. Staccioli | ||
| 54′ | M. Yoshida | ||
| 59′ | Mendes | ||
| 62′ | S. Omori | ||
| 68′ | H. SuekiK. Kumakura | ||
| 74′ | M. YoshidaY. Matsumura | ||
| 75′ | MendesT. Hosaka | ||
| 76′ | K. SatoY. Murakami | ||
| 83′ | Y. SuzukiH. Tokuda | ||
| 83′ | YanK. Tsukui | ||
| 88′ | Y. Murakami | ||
| 90′ | R. HiroseR. Ogawa | ||
| 90′ | Leo CearaG. Shibasaki |
Kashima vs Ventforet Kofu overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kashima vs Ventforet Kofu
| Probability | Kashima | Draw | Ventforet Kofu |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.0% | 20.9% | 18.1% |
| Market | 72.7% | 18.4% | 8.9% |
| Final | 69.7% | 19.0% | 11.2% |
| Edge | -11.7% | +2.5% | +9.2% |
Why Kashima
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.30 vs 1.21.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Kashima and Ventforet Kofu expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.51
Kashima and Ventforet Kofu attack and defence ratings
Kashima
Ventforet Kofu
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kashima vs Ventforet Kofu: result vs prediction
Kashima 3 – 1 Ventforet Kofu
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 32 fixtures
Before and after this match
Kashima vs Ventforet Kofu markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kashima | 69.7% | 1.43 | -11.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.8% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Kashima win | 39.7% | 2.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kashima | 69.7% |
| Draw | 19.0% | |
| Ventforet Kofu | 11.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.0% |
| No | 36.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 81.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 30.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kashima win | 39.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 39.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.6% |
| 1-1 | 9.1% | |
| 2-0 | 7.9% |
Kashima vs Ventforet Kofu stats
Kashima and Ventforet Kofu recent form
| Kashima |
DLLLWW |
| Ventforet Kofu |
WLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kashima vs Ventforet Kofu head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-08-21 | Ventforet Kofu | Kashima | Emperor Cup | 1-2 |
| 2023-07-12 | Kashima | Ventforet Kofu | Emperor Cup | 1-1 |
| 2022-10-05 | Ventforet Kofu | Kashima | Emperor Cup | 1-0 |
| 2018-11-21 | Kashima | Ventforet Kofu | Emperor Cup | 1-0 |
| 2017-07-29 | Kashima | Ventforet Kofu | J1 League | 3-0 |
| 2017-03-04 | Ventforet Kofu | Kashima | J1 League | 0-1 |
| 2016-07-17 | Ventforet Kofu | Kashima | J1 League | 3-3 |
| 2016-05-29 | Kashima | Ventforet Kofu | J1 League | 4-0 |
| 2016-03-23 | Kashima | Ventforet Kofu | J-League Cup | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kashima vs Ventforet Kofu odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 72.7%, draw 18.4%, away 8.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.28 | 4.90 | 10.50 |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 5.50 | 9.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.22 | 5.50 | 10.50 |
| Betano | 1.26 | 5.00 | 8.50 |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 5.50 | 10.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.27 | 4.90 | 10.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.27 | 4.83 | 11.24 |
| William Hill | 1.25 | 4.40 | 10.00 |