J1 League
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
Kashima
vs
Gamba Osaka
2 – 0 Full time
| 45′ | Léo Ceará | ||
| 55′ | Welton | ||
| 55′ | Rikuto HiroseKeisuke Tsukui | ||
| 55′ | Minato YoshidaAleksandar Čavrić | ||
| 57′ | Yusei ToshidaDeniz Hümmet | ||
| 57′ | Takashi UsamiIssam Jebali | ||
| 60′ | Yuma Suzuki | ||
| 64′ | Ryo HatsuseShinya Nakano | ||
| 64′ | WeltonKoshiro Sumi | ||
| 73′ | Rin MitoTakeru Kishimoto | ||
| 76′ | Kim Tae-hyeon | ||
| 79′ | Léo CearáHaruki Hayashi | ||
| 79′ | Gaku ShibasakiMatheus Bueno | ||
| 84′ | Ryoya Ogawa | ||
| 88′ | Yuma SuzukiHomare Tokuda |
Kashima
51%
Draw
24%
Gamba Osaka
25%
Match stats
| 14 | Shots | 12 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 1 | Corners | 4 |
| 13 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 1 |
| 340 | Accurate passes | 272 |
Kashima vs Gamba Osaka overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Kashima vs Gamba Osaka
| Probability | Kashima | Draw | Gamba Osaka |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.7% | 23.9% | 33.4% |
| Market | 54.3% | 24.0% | 21.7% |
| Final | 51.4% | 24.0% | 24.6% |
| Edge | -11.6% | -0.2% | +11.7% |
Why Kashima
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
88%
3+ goals
68%
No goals
4%
Kashima and Gamba Osaka expected goals
Kashima
1.88
Gamba Osaka
1.65
Total expected goals: 3.53
Kashima and Gamba Osaka attack and defence ratings
Kashima
Attack
1.36 +36%
Defence
1.15 +15%
Gamba Osaka
Attack
1.10 +10%
Defence
0.96 -4%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Kashima vs Gamba Osaka: result vs prediction
Kashima 2 – 0 Gamba Osaka
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe
- Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos — team news & stats
- Avispa Fukuoka v Fagiano Okayama — match page
- FC Tokyo v Urawa — match page
- Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia — team news & stats
- JEF United Chiba vs V-varen Nagasaki
- Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse
- Tokyo Verdy v Sanfrecce Hiroshima — match page
Before and after this match
Kashima vs Gamba Osaka markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kashima | 51.4% | 1.95 | -11.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.3% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.0% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Kashima | 51.4% |
| Draw | 24.0% | |
| Gamba Osaka | 24.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 69.3% |
| No | 30.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kashima win | 23.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.9% | |
| Loss | 57.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.0% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-2 | 7.5% |
Kashima vs Gamba Osaka stats
Kashima and Gamba Osaka recent form
| Kashima |
WDLLLW |
| Gamba Osaka |
WLLLDD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Kashima and Gamba Osaka going into this match
Kashima record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.4 goals per game on the road against 1.7 at home.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Gamba Osaka record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Kashima vs Gamba Osaka head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
6Kashima wins
3Draws
1Gamba Osaka wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-05 | Kashima | Gamba Osaka | J1 League | 0-0 |
| 2025-05-31 | Gamba Osaka | Kashima | J1 League | 0-1 |
| 2024-06-26 | Kashima | Gamba Osaka | J1 League | 0-0 |
| 2024-04-28 | Gamba Osaka | Kashima | J1 League | 1-2 |
| 2023-06-24 | Gamba Osaka | Kashima | J1 League | 2-1 |
| 2023-04-29 | Kashima | Gamba Osaka | J1 League | 4-0 |
| 2022-11-05 | Kashima | Gamba Osaka | J1 League | 0-0 |
| 2022-07-13 | Kashima | Gamba Osaka | Emperor Cup | 2-0 |
| 2022-05-18 | Gamba Osaka | Kashima | J-League Cup | 1-3 |
| 2022-03-26 | Kashima | Gamba Osaka | J-League Cup | 4-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Kashima vs Gamba Osaka odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.3%, draw 24.0%, away 21.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.76 | 4.03 | 4.36 |
| Bet365 | 1.67 | 3.70 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 4.10 | 4.40 |
| Betano | 1.75 | 3.75 | 4.35 |
| Betfair | 1.73 | 4.00 | 4.10 |
| Dafabet | 1.94 | 3.85 | 3.80 |
| Marathonbet | 1.71 | 3.92 | 4.25 |
| Pinnacle | 1.75 | 4.09 | 4.52 |
| SBO | 1.71 | 3.81 | 4.18 |
| William Hill | 1.70 | 3.75 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.72 ▼ -0.16
X
3.88 ▲ +0.08
2
4.30 ▲ +0.60
13 snapshots recorded, from .