J1 League
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
Mito Hollyhock
vs
Shimizu S-pulse
1 – 2 Full time
| 20′ | Yoshiki TorikaiKotaro Uchino | ||
| 24′ | Oh Se-hun | ||
| 26′ | Kotaro Uchino | ||
| 45′ | Koya KitagawaYudai Shimamoto | ||
| 45′ | Oh Se-hunRyo Germain | ||
| 45′ | Kenta InoueTomoya Fujii | ||
| 45′ | Hugo LeonardoYu Funabashi | ||
| 48′ | Chihiro Kato | ||
| 67′ | Kotaro UchinoRyo Nemoto | ||
| 67′ | Jin OkumuraKeisuke Tada | ||
| 67′ | Kai MatsuzakiKosuke Kinoshita | ||
| 70′ | Takumi Mase | ||
| 75′ | Tomoya Fujii | ||
| 84′ | DieguinhoTaiki Hirato | ||
| 85′ | Chihiro KatoHayata Yamamoto | ||
| 90′ | Hidehiro Sugai |
Mito Hollyhock
34%
Draw
30%
Shimizu S-pulse
37%
Match stats
| 7 | Shots | 9 |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Shots on target | 4 |
| 61 | Possession % | 39 |
| 7 | Corners | 1 |
| 11 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Offsides | 0 |
| 2 | Saves | 1 |
| 425 | Accurate passes | 246 |
Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse
| Probability | Mito Hollyhock | Draw | Shimizu S-pulse |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.2% | 31.8% | 39.0% |
| Market | 35.2% | 28.8% | 36.0% |
| Final | 33.7% | 29.6% | 36.7% |
| Edge | -1.5% | +0.7% | +0.7% |
Why Shimizu S-pulse
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
87%
2+ goals
65%
3+ goals
37%
No goals
13%
Mito Hollyhock and Shimizu S-pulse expected goals
Mito Hollyhock
0.99
Shimizu S-pulse
1.19
Total expected goals: 2.18
Mito Hollyhock and Shimizu S-pulse attack and defence ratings
Mito Hollyhock
Attack
0.76 -24%
Defence
1.11 +11%
Shimizu S-pulse
Attack
0.82 -18%
Defence
0.90 -10%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse: result vs prediction
Mito Hollyhock 1 – 2 Shimizu S-pulse
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Kashima vs Gamba Osaka — team news & stats
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe
- Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos — team news & stats
- Avispa Fukuoka v Fagiano Okayama — match page
- FC Tokyo v Urawa — match page
- Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia — team news & stats
- JEF United Chiba vs V-varen Nagasaki
- Tokyo Verdy v Sanfrecce Hiroshima — match page
Before and after this match
Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Shimizu S-pulse | 36.7% | 2.72 | +0.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.9% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.0% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.4% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mito Hollyhock | 33.7% |
| Draw | 29.6% | |
| Shimizu S-pulse | 36.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.0% |
| No | 55.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Shimizu S-pulse win | 17.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 61.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 12.7% | |
| 0-1 | 12.1% |
Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse stats
Mito Hollyhock and Shimizu S-pulse recent form
| Mito Hollyhock |
LLDWDL |
| Shimizu S-pulse |
WWWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mito Hollyhock and Shimizu S-pulse going into this match
Mito Hollyhock record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Shimizu S-pulse record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- 46% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
0Mito Hollyhock wins
4Draws
3Shimizu S-pulse wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-10-06 | Mito Hollyhock | Shimizu S-pulse | J2 League | 2-2 |
| 2024-05-26 | Shimizu S-pulse | Mito Hollyhock | J2 League | 2-1 |
| 2023-11-12 | Mito Hollyhock | Shimizu S-pulse | J2 League | 1-1 |
| 2023-02-18 | Shimizu S-pulse | Mito Hollyhock | J2 League | 0-0 |
| 2016-09-18 | Shimizu S-pulse | Mito Hollyhock | J2 League | 2-1 |
| 2016-09-03 | Shimizu S-pulse | Mito Hollyhock | Emperor Cup | 3-0 |
| 2016-06-04 | Mito Hollyhock | Shimizu S-pulse | J2 League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 35.2%, draw 28.8%, away 36.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.72 | 3.28 | 2.67 |
| Bet365 | 2.70 | 3.20 | 2.70 |
| BetVictor | 2.70 | 3.30 | 2.63 |
| Betano | 2.65 | 3.25 | 2.60 |
| Betfair | 2.55 | 3.40 | 2.55 |
| Dafabet | 2.70 | 3.40 | 2.65 |
| Marathonbet | 2.65 | 3.20 | 2.60 |
| Pinnacle | 2.74 | 3.32 | 2.68 |
| SBO | 2.49 | 3.04 | 2.50 |
| William Hill | 2.62 | 3.10 | 2.50 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
2.67 ▼ -0.02
X
3.26 ▼ -0.03
2
2.62 ▲ +0.11
12 snapshots recorded, from .