Mito Hollyhock
vs
Urawa
Garuda Lions Prediction: Urawa
1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa
| Probability | Mito Hollyhock | Draw | Urawa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.6% | 25.8% | 43.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 30.6% | 25.8% | 43.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Urawa
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.39.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa match preview
Mito Hollyhock faces Urawa in the J1 League with a 31% probability of winning, while Urawa has a 44% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-2, occurring at a rate of 9%. Both teams are expected to contribute to the score, with a 62% likelihood for both teams to score and a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match.
In terms of recent form, Mito Hollyhock has recorded two losses, one draw, and two wins in their last five matches, while Urawa has achieved three wins and two losses in the same period. The expected goals for Mito Hollyhock stand at 1.39, compared to Urawa's 1.70. Historically, Urawa has dominated their recent encounters, winning both of the last two matches against Mito Hollyhock.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mito Hollyhock and Urawa expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.09
Mito Hollyhock and Urawa attack and defence ratings
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Urawa | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.7% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.2% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mito Hollyhock | 30.6% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Urawa | 43.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 59.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 40.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.5% |
| No | 37.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Urawa win | 23.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.2% | |
| Loss | 56.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 2-1 | 7.5% |
Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa stats
Mito Hollyhock and Urawa recent form
| Mito Hollyhock |
LLDWDL |
| Urawa |
LWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mito Hollyhock and Urawa season so far
Mito Hollyhock record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Urawa record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Mito Hollyhock | Urawa | J1 League | 1-4 |
| 2026-03-07 | Urawa | Mito Hollyhock | J1 League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.