Mito Hollyhock
vs
Urawa
0 – 1 Full time
| 10′ | Taishi Semba | ||
| 45′ | Kaito TaniguchiMalick Fofana | ||
| 58′ | Kotaro HayashiYoichi Naganuma | ||
| 70′ | Hayata YamamotoKiichi Yamazaki | ||
| 73′ | Miki YamaneJumpei Hayakawa | ||
| 73′ | Hiiro KomoriRenji Hidano | ||
| 76′ | Jakub Słowik | ||
| 77′ | Ryo NemotoKeisuke Tada | ||
| 80′ | Kaito Yasui | ||
| 83′ | Kaito YasuiAdo Onaiwu | ||
| 83′ | Matheus SávioShuta Sasa | ||
| 90′ | Takumi MaseYuri Tamura | ||
| 90′ | Chihiro KatoYuto Yamashita | ||
| 90′ | Shuta Sasa |
Match stats
| 1 | Shots | 28 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 6 |
| 14 | Possession % | 86 |
| 0 | Corners | 13 |
| 6 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Offsides | 1 |
| 5 | Saves | 1 |
| 62 | Accurate passes | 688 |
Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa
| Probability | Mito Hollyhock | Draw | Urawa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.7% | 25.5% | 43.9% |
| Market | 26.9% | 27.8% | 45.4% |
| Final | 27.8% | 27.2% | 45.0% |
| Edge | +0.9% | -0.6% | -0.4% |
Why Urawa
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.73 vs 1.41.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mito Hollyhock and Urawa expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.14
Mito Hollyhock and Urawa attack and defence ratings
Mito Hollyhock
Urawa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa: result vs prediction
Mito Hollyhock 0 – 1 Urawa
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Shimizu S-pulse v Gamba Osaka — match page
- JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga
- Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo — team news & stats
- Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale — team news & stats
- Kashima v V-varen Nagasaki — match page
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus — team news & stats
- Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Urawa | 45.0% | 2.22 | -0.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mito Hollyhock | 27.8% |
| Draw | 27.2% | |
| Urawa | 45.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 60.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 39.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 63.4% |
| No | 36.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 55.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Urawa win | 23.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 56.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.6% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 2-1 | 7.5% |
Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa stats
Mito Hollyhock and Urawa recent form
| LLLDWD | |
| LWWLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mito Hollyhock and Urawa going into this match
Mito Hollyhock record
- They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Urawa record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa head-to-head
Last 3 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | Mito Hollyhock | Urawa | J1 League | 1-4 |
| 2026-03-07 | Urawa | Mito Hollyhock | J1 League | 2-0 |
| 2019-08-14 | Urawa | Mito Hollyhock | Emperor Cup | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Mito Hollyhock vs Urawa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 27.0%, draw 28.0%, away 45.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 3.59 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
| Bet365 | 3.30 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| BetVictor | 3.50 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
| Betano | 3.50 | 3.25 | 2.10 |
| Betfair | 3.40 | 3.50 | 2.00 |
| Marathonbet | 3.50 | 3.32 | 2.05 |
| Pinnacle | 3.70 | 3.38 | 2.11 |
| SBO | 3.06 | 3.02 | 2.11 |
| William Hill | 3.40 | 3.20 | 2.05 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .