J1 League
·
Full time
·Matchday 10
Tokyo Verdy
vs
FC Tokyo
0 – 4 Full time
| 18′ | Itsuki Someno | ||
| 28′ | Yuya FukudaIssei Kumatoriya | ||
| 41′ | Alexander Scholz | ||
| 45′ | Kim Hyun-WooKazunari Ichimi | ||
| 55′ | Marcelo | ||
| 58′ | Yuta Arai | ||
| 66′ | Kosuke SaitoRei Hirakawa | ||
| 67′ | Kashif BangnagandeRio Omori | ||
| 67′ | Kota TawaratsumidaKein Sato | ||
| 68′ | Motoki Nagakura | ||
| 74′ | Takahiro KoKyota Tokiwa | ||
| 80′ | Kanya FujimotoKoki Morita | ||
| 80′ | Kai ShibatoCho Yu-Min | ||
| 81′ | Kazunari Ichimi | ||
| 83′ | MarceloDani Gómez | ||
| 84′ | Soma AnzaiFuki Yamada | ||
| 90′ | Dani Gómez |
Tokyo Verdy
16%
Draw
24%
FC Tokyo
61%
Match stats
| 2 | Shots | 23 |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | Shots on target | 8 |
| 18 | Possession % | 82 |
| 1 | Corners | 11 |
| 11 | Fouls | 8 |
| 3 | Offsides | 1 |
| 4 | Saves | 0 |
| 89 | Accurate passes | 641 |
Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo
| Probability | Tokyo Verdy | Draw | FC Tokyo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 6.7% | 18.5% | 74.8% |
| Market | 18.5% | 25.3% | 56.2% |
| Final | 15.6% | 23.6% | 60.8% |
| Edge | -3.0% | -1.7% | +4.7% |
Why FC Tokyo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.17 vs 0.52.
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices FC Tokyo below our published probability: +4.7 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
76%
3+ goals
50%
No goals
8%
Tokyo Verdy and FC Tokyo expected goals
Tokyo Verdy
0.52
FC Tokyo
2.17
Total expected goals: 2.68
Tokyo Verdy and FC Tokyo attack and defence ratings
Tokyo Verdy
Attack
0.62 -38%
Defence
1.11 +11%
FC Tokyo
Attack
1.50 +50%
Defence
0.59 -41%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo: result vs prediction
Tokyo Verdy 0 – 4 FC Tokyo
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
- Shimizu S-pulse v Gamba Osaka — match page
- JEF United Chiba vs Yokohama F. Marinos
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima vs Kyoto Sanga
- Cerezo Osaka vs Kawasaki Frontale — team news & stats
- Kashima v V-varen Nagasaki — match page
- Mito Hollyhock v Urawa — match page
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Nagoya Grampus — team news & stats
- Fagiano Okayama vs Vissel Kobe — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Tokyo | 60.8% | 1.64 | +4.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.4% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 84.4% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Tokyo win | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tokyo Verdy | 15.6% |
| Draw | 23.6% | |
| FC Tokyo | 60.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.6% |
| No | 63.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 39.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 84.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Tokyo win | 50.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.0% | |
| Loss | 25.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 16.0% |
| 0-1 | 14.0% | |
| 0-3 | 11.6% |
Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo stats
Tokyo Verdy and FC Tokyo recent form
| Tokyo Verdy |
LDLDDL |
| FC Tokyo |
WWWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tokyo Verdy and FC Tokyo going into this match
Tokyo Verdy record
- They have won 0 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 5 of 9 matches.
FC Tokyo record
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- 45% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
0Tokyo Verdy wins
5Draws
2FC Tokyo wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | FC Tokyo | Tokyo Verdy | J1 League | 2-1 |
| 2026-03-22 | Tokyo Verdy | FC Tokyo | J1 League | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-15 | FC Tokyo | Tokyo Verdy | J1 League | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-02 | Tokyo Verdy | FC Tokyo | J1 League | 2-2 |
| 2024-08-17 | FC Tokyo | Tokyo Verdy | J1 League | 0-0 |
| 2024-04-13 | Tokyo Verdy | FC Tokyo | J1 League | 2-2 |
| 2023-07-12 | FC Tokyo | Tokyo Verdy | Emperor Cup | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tokyo Verdy vs FC Tokyo odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 18.7%, draw 25.6%, away 55.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 5.13 | 3.82 | 1.69 |
| Bet365 | 5.00 | 3.60 | 1.65 |
| BetVictor | 5.25 | 3.70 | 1.67 |
| Betano | 4.70 | 3.60 | 1.72 |
| Betfair | 5.00 | 3.60 | 1.70 |
| Dafabet | 5.00 | 3.75 | 1.73 |
| Marathonbet | 5.00 | 3.72 | 1.65 |
| Pinnacle | 5.12 | 3.82 | 1.71 |
| SBO | 4.48 | 3.31 | 1.66 |
| William Hill | 4.80 | 3.60 | 1.67 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
5.06 ▼ -0.19
X
3.71 ▼ -0.02
2
1.67 ▲ +0.02
10 snapshots recorded, from .