J1 League
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
FC Tokyo
vs
Urawa
3 – 0 Full time
| 21′ | Marcelo | ||
| 24′ | Harumi MinaminoAdo Onaiwu | ||
| 45′ | Tatsuki SekoRyoma Watanabe | ||
| 61′ | Kota TawaratsumidaKein Sato | ||
| 61′ | Kashif BangnagandeRio Omori | ||
| 63′ | Motoki Nagakura | ||
| 69′ | Soma Anzai | ||
| 72′ | Kaito YasuiRenji Hidano | ||
| 73′ | Hayate Ueki Samuel Gustafson | ||
| 76′ | Hirokazu IshiharaFuki Yamada | ||
| 76′ | MarceloTeruhito Nakagawa | ||
| 77′ | Kotaro HayashiHiiro Komori | ||
| 85′ | Kein Sato | ||
| 88′ | Motoki NagakuraDani Gómez |
FC Tokyo
58%
Draw
23%
Urawa
20%
Match stats
| 16 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Shots on target | 2 |
| 54 | Possession % | 46 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 13 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 2 | Saves | 2 |
| 338 | Accurate passes | 300 |
FC Tokyo vs Urawa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Tokyo vs Urawa
| Probability | FC Tokyo | Draw | Urawa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.9% | 19.8% | 15.3% |
| Market | 55.3% | 23.5% | 21.2% |
| Final | 57.7% | 22.6% | 19.7% |
| Edge | +2.4% | -0.9% | -1.5% |
Why FC Tokyo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.40 vs 1.12.
- The market prices FC Tokyo below our published probability: +2.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
87%
3+ goals
68%
No goals
4%
FC Tokyo and Urawa expected goals
FC Tokyo
2.40
Urawa
1.12
Total expected goals: 3.52
FC Tokyo and Urawa attack and defence ratings
FC Tokyo
Attack
1.44 +44%
Defence
0.64 -36%
Urawa
Attack
1.34 +34%
Defence
1.16 +16%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Tokyo vs Urawa: result vs prediction
FC Tokyo 3 – 0 Urawa
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Kashima vs Gamba Osaka — team news & stats
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe
- Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos — team news & stats
- Avispa Fukuoka v Fagiano Okayama — match page
- Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia — team news & stats
- JEF United Chiba vs V-varen Nagasaki
- Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse
- Tokyo Verdy v Sanfrecce Hiroshima — match page
Before and after this match
FC Tokyo vs Urawa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Tokyo | 57.7% | 1.73 | +2.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.9% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.3% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | FC Tokyo win | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Tokyo | 57.7% |
| Draw | 22.6% | |
| Urawa | 19.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 61.9% |
| No | 38.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 42.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Tokyo win | 43.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.2% | |
| Loss | 35.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.6% |
| 1-1 | 8.8% | |
| 2-0 | 8.6% |
FC Tokyo vs Urawa stats
FC Tokyo and Urawa recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Tokyo and Urawa going into this match
FC Tokyo record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 1.5 at home.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 50% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Urawa record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
FC Tokyo vs Urawa head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
5FC Tokyo wins
3Draws
2Urawa wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-16 | Urawa | FC Tokyo | J1 League | 0-0 |
| 2026-02-14 | FC Tokyo | Urawa | J1 League | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-27 | FC Tokyo | Urawa | Emperor Cup | 2-1 |
| 2025-07-19 | FC Tokyo | Urawa | J1 League | 3-2 |
| 2025-05-17 | Urawa | FC Tokyo | J1 League | 3-2 |
| 2024-09-21 | Urawa | FC Tokyo | J1 League | 0-2 |
| 2024-04-03 | FC Tokyo | Urawa | J1 League | 2-1 |
| 2023-07-08 | Urawa | FC Tokyo | J1 League | 0-0 |
| 2023-02-18 | FC Tokyo | Urawa | J1 League | 2-0 |
| 2022-07-10 | Urawa | FC Tokyo | J1 League | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Tokyo vs Urawa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 55.3%, draw 23.5%, away 21.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.71 | 4.20 | 4.44 |
| Bet365 | 1.65 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| BetVictor | 1.70 | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.80 | 4.65 |
| Betfair | 1.67 | 4.00 | 4.33 |
| Marathonbet | 1.67 | 4.10 | 4.33 |
| Pinnacle | 1.72 | 4.23 | 4.44 |
| SBO | 1.70 | 3.52 | 3.94 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.90 | 4.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
1.70 ▲ +0.03
X
4.00 ▼ -0.10
2
4.44 —
12 snapshots recorded, from .