J1 League · Full time ·Matchday 9

Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe

4 – 2 Full time

18′Seiya BabaSachiro Toshima
27′Shota Fujio
45′Katsuya NagatoJean Patric Lima dos Reis
53′Hinata Yamauchi
58′Tetsushi YamakawaJoão Victor Andrade Caetano
64′Tojiro Kubo
71′Tomoya WakaharaKengo Nagai
71′Keita EndoKenshin Yuba
71′Hinata YamauchiYusuke Segawa
72′Yoshinori MutoYuan Iwamoto
72′Gotoku SakaiRen Komatsu
76′Issei TakahashiNanasei Iino
81′Ren Komatsu
84′Shota FujioMao Hosoya
84′Tojiro KuboWataru Harada
84′Yusuke Segawa
88′Diego Jara Rodrigues
90′Michael Skibbe
90′Wataru Harada

Sankyo Frontier Kashiwa Stadium, Kashiwa CityReferee: Koichiro Fukushima

Kashiwa Reysol 38%
Draw 28%
Vissel Kobe 34%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

17 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 6
44 Possession % 56
4 Corners 2
10 Fouls 7
2 Offsides 2
2 Saves 2
327 Accurate passes 405

Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKashiwa ReysolDrawVissel Kobe
Model33.6%28.6%37.8%
Market39.8%28.0%32.1%
Final38.3%28.2%33.6%
Edge-6.3%+0.5%+5.7%

Confidence: Low

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Kashiwa Reysol ↓ / Vissel Kobe → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 8% 1 8% 14% 8% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

Kashiwa Reysol and Vissel Kobe expected goals

Kashiwa Reysol 1.28
Vissel Kobe 1.37

Total expected goals: 2.65

Kashiwa Reysol and Vissel Kobe attack and defence ratings

Kashiwa Reysol

Attack 1.57 +57%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Vissel Kobe

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.57 -43%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe: result vs prediction

Kashiwa Reysol 4 – 2 Vissel Kobe

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

J1 League

Before and after this match

Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Kashiwa Reysol 38.3% 2.61 -6.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.7% 1.97 — —
Both teams to score Yes 55.0% 1.82 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.8% 1.39 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 66.4% 1.51 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Kashiwa Reysol38.3%
Draw28.2%
Vissel Kobe33.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.3%
Under 2.550.7%
Both teams to scoreYes55.0%
No45.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)66.4%
12 (either side)71.8%
X2 (draw or away)61.7%
Handicap -1Kashiwa Reysol win15.2%
Push (exactly one goal)18.4%
Loss66.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.6%
1-28.5%
0-18.5%

Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe stats

Kashiwa Reysol and Vissel Kobe recent form

newest first
Kashiwa Reysol WWWLLW
Vissel Kobe WWWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Kashiwa Reysol and Vissel Kobe going into this match

league record before kick-off

Kashiwa Reysol record

  • They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Vissel Kobe record

  • They have won 6 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.

Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

3Kashiwa Reysol wins 4Draws 3Vissel Kobe wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-09-12Vissel KobeKashiwa ReysolJ1 League0-0
2025-05-31Kashiwa ReysolVissel KobeJ1 League1-3
2024-11-30Kashiwa ReysolVissel KobeJ1 League1-1
2024-08-21Kashiwa ReysolVissel KobeEmperor Cup0-1
2024-03-02Vissel KobeKashiwa ReysolJ1 League0-1
2023-08-19Vissel KobeKashiwa ReysolJ1 League1-1
2023-05-20Kashiwa ReysolVissel KobeJ1 League1-1
2022-07-30Vissel KobeKashiwa ReysolJ1 League0-1
2022-07-13Vissel KobeKashiwa ReysolEmperor Cup2-1
2022-06-18Kashiwa ReysolVissel KobeJ1 League3-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 39.8%, draw 28.0%, away 32.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.38 3.38 3.00
Bet365 2.30 3.20 2.90
BetVictor 2.45 3.50 2.80
Betano 2.32 3.30 3.00
Betfair 2.30 3.50 2.88
Dafabet 2.42 3.45 2.95
Marathonbet 2.32 3.30 2.93
Pinnacle 2.37 3.48 3.10
SBO 2.33 3.25 2.82
William Hill 2.38 3.20 2.80

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.35 ▲ +0.20
X 3.34 ▼ -0.06
2 2.92 ▼ -0.33

13 snapshots recorded, from .