J1 League
·
Full time
·Matchday 9
Tokyo Verdy
vs
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0 – 2 Full time
| 15′ | Kim Hyun-Woo | ||
| 17′ | Kim Ju-sung | ||
| 40′ | Kaito Suzuki | ||
| 45′ | Yotaro NakajimaTaishi Matsumoto | ||
| 45′ | Mutsuki KatoSébastien Haller | ||
| 45′ | Kim Ju-sungShunki Higashi | ||
| 47′ | Taishi Matsumoto | ||
| 55′ | Itsuki Someno | ||
| 57′ | Kim Hyun-WooKazunari Ichimi | ||
| 58′ | Akito Suzuki | ||
| 67′ | Daiki SugaNaoki Maeda | ||
| 70′ | Kanya FujimotoIssei Kumatoriya | ||
| 70′ | Yuya FukudaShuhei Mizoguchi | ||
| 81′ | Shun AyukawaTakuma Asano | ||
| 85′ | Kazunari IchimiGoki Yamada | ||
| 85′ | Kai ShibatoShion Nakayama |
Tokyo Verdy
12%
Draw
20%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
68%
Match stats
| 6 | Shots | 11 |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Shots on target | 5 |
| 33 | Possession % | 67 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Offsides | 2 |
| 3 | Saves | 3 |
| 204 | Accurate passes | 523 |
Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Probability | Tokyo Verdy | Draw | Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 6.5% | 16.4% | 77.1% |
| Market | 14.5% | 21.1% | 64.4% |
| Final | 12.5% | 19.9% | 67.6% |
| Edge | -2.0% | -1.2% | +3.2% |
Why Sanfrecce Hiroshima
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.41 vs 0.59.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices Sanfrecce Hiroshima below our published probability: +3.2 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
81%
3+ goals
58%
No goals
6%
Tokyo Verdy and Sanfrecce Hiroshima expected goals
Tokyo Verdy
0.59
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2.41
Total expected goals: 3.00
Tokyo Verdy and Sanfrecce Hiroshima attack and defence ratings
Tokyo Verdy
Attack
0.66 -34%
Defence
1.05 +5%
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Attack
1.77 +77%
Defence
0.62 -38%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima: result vs prediction
Tokyo Verdy 0 – 2 Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
- Kashima vs Gamba Osaka — team news & stats
- Kashiwa Reysol vs Vissel Kobe
- Cerezo Osaka vs Yokohama F. Marinos — team news & stats
- Avispa Fukuoka v Fagiano Okayama — match page
- FC Tokyo v Urawa — match page
- Kyoto Sanga vs Machida Zelvia — team news & stats
- JEF United Chiba vs V-varen Nagasaki
- Mito Hollyhock vs Shimizu S-pulse
Before and after this match
Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 67.6% | 1.48 | +3.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.0% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 87.5% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima win | 55.1% | 1.82 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tokyo Verdy | 12.5% |
| Draw | 19.9% | |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 67.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.0% |
| No | 59.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 32.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 87.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima win | 55.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 22.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 14.5% |
| 0-3 | 11.7% | |
| 0-1 | 11.4% |
Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima stats
Tokyo Verdy and Sanfrecce Hiroshima recent form
| Tokyo Verdy |
DLDDLL |
| Sanfrecce Hiroshima |
WWWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tokyo Verdy and Sanfrecce Hiroshima going into this match
Tokyo Verdy record
- They have won 0 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Sanfrecce Hiroshima record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.5 goals per match.
- They average 3.2 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
0Tokyo Verdy wins
0Draws
5Sanfrecce Hiroshima wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-08-23 | Tokyo Verdy | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League | 0-3 |
| 2025-05-17 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Tokyo Verdy | J1 League | 2-1 |
| 2024-08-07 | Tokyo Verdy | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J1 League | 0-1 |
| 2024-06-15 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | Tokyo Verdy | J1 League | 4-1 |
| 2024-05-22 | Tokyo Verdy | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | J-League Cup | 2-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 14.5%, draw 21.1%, away 64.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 6.47 | 4.52 | 1.49 |
| Bet365 | 7.00 | 4.00 | 1.48 |
| BetVictor | 6.50 | 4.50 | 1.45 |
| Betano | 6.80 | 4.05 | 1.47 |
| Betfair | 6.50 | 4.50 | 1.40 |
| Dafabet | 6.40 | 4.60 | 1.50 |
| Marathonbet | 6.30 | 4.40 | 1.45 |
| Pinnacle | 6.78 | 4.58 | 1.47 |
| SBO | 5.51 | 4.02 | 1.43 |
| William Hill | 6.00 | 4.20 | 1.44 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
1
6.48 ▼ -0.07
X
4.45 —
2
1.46 ▲ +0.02
12 snapshots recorded, from .