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Emperor Cup · Full time ·Round of 32

FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare

4 – 0 Full time

14′F. Yamada
34′D. Gomez
46′T. NishinoF. Gonzalez
46′A. ScholzH. Inamura
46′K. TawaratsumidaK. Sato
58′G. YamaguchiS. Kozuki
58′H. OkunoS. Tamura
58′S. IshibashiS. Takeda
58′K. Tachi
61′H. Ishii
64′D. GomezS. Anzai
64′S. NaganoK. Tokiwa
66′M. Ikeda
72′S. Anzai
77′T. Nakagawa
84′T. NakagawaK. Tanaka

Ajinomoto Stadium, Chofu

FC Tokyo 63%
Draw 23%
Shonan Bellmare 14%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare overview

Garuda Lions analysis: FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityFC TokyoDrawShonan Bellmare
Model63.6%25.1%11.3%
Market62.4%22.4%15.2%
Final62.7%23.0%14.2%
Edge+1.2%+2.7%-3.9%

Confidence: Low

Why FC Tokyo

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 0.58.
  • Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

FC Tokyo ↓ / Shonan Bellmar → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 1 16% 11% 2 15% 9% 3 8% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 40%
No goals 11%

FC Tokyo and Shonan Bellmare expected goals

FC Tokyo 1.71
Shonan Bellmare 0.58

Total expected goals: 2.29

FC Tokyo and Shonan Bellmare attack and defence ratings

FC Tokyo

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 0.65 -35%

Shonan Bellmare

Attack 0.85 -15%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare: result vs prediction

FC Tokyo 4 – 0 Shonan Bellmare

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 32 fixtures

Emperor Cup

Before and after this match

FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 FC Tokyo 62.7% 1.59 +1.2% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59.9% 1.67 — —
Both teams to score No 62.7% 1.59 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 85.8% 1.17 — —
Handicap -1 FC Tokyo win 37.4% 2.68 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2FC Tokyo62.7%
Draw23.0%
Shonan Bellmare14.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540.1%
Under 2.559.9%
Both teams to scoreYes37.3%
No62.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)85.8%
12 (either side)77.0%
X2 (draw or away)37.3%
Handicap -1FC Tokyo win37.4%
Push (exactly one goal)26.4%
Loss36.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-016.2%
2-014.7%
0-011.1%

FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare stats

FC Tokyo and Shonan Bellmare recent form

newest first
FC Tokyo WWWDWW
Shonan Bellmare WLW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

2FC Tokyo wins 3Draws 4Shonan Bellmare wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2025-08-16Shonan BellmareFC TokyoJ1 League2-2
2025-05-21Shonan BellmareFC TokyoJ-League Cup1-0
2025-03-08FC TokyoShonan BellmareJ1 League0-0
2024-11-03FC TokyoShonan BellmareJ1 League0-2
2024-06-22Shonan BellmareFC TokyoJ1 League0-1
2023-12-03Shonan BellmareFC TokyoJ1 League0-1
2023-04-09FC TokyoShonan BellmareJ1 League2-2
2022-10-08FC TokyoShonan BellmareJ1 League0-2
2022-06-18Shonan BellmareFC TokyoJ1 League2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

FC Tokyo vs Shonan Bellmare odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 62.4%, draw 22.4%, away 15.2%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.48 4.15 6.13
Bet365 1.45 4.00 5.50
BetVictor 1.45 4.20 6.00
Betfair 1.44 4.00 6.00
Marathonbet 1.47 4.15 6.05
Pinnacle 1.51 4.27 6.24
SBO 1.47 3.73 5.03
William Hill 1.44 3.75 5.50

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.46 ▼ -0.07
X 4.08 ▲ +0.04
2 6.00 ▲ +0.65

2 snapshots recorded, from .